Miami (29-31) at Cleveland (51-10)
- When: Mar 5 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH, USA
- TV: ESPN
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat: Betting Preview & Predictions
Spread: Cleveland -10.5
Total: 227.0
The Cleveland Cavaliers continue their dominant run, riding an 11-game winning streak into this matchup against the injury-riddled Miami Heat on Wednesday. Cleveland has been nearly unstoppable, while Miami is battling through a depleted lineup as they fight to stay competitive.
Can Cleveland extend their winning streak, or will Miami pull off a surprising road upset despite their missing pieces? Let’s break it down.
Cleveland Cavaliers
The Cavaliers (46-15, NBA-best record) are on fire, securing their third double-digit winning streak of the season after a 139-117 blowout win over the Bulls on Tuesday.
Donovan Mitchell dropped 28 points, while Jarrett Allen dominated inside with 25 points and 17 rebounds.
Seven Cavaliers finished in double figures, showcasing Cleveland’s depth and versatility.
Despite their elite defense, the Cavs have needed big second-half rallies, coming back from double-digit deficits in their last three games.
Even with playoff seeding nearly locked in, coach Kenny Atkinson has emphasized staying sharp.
“We’re not waiting until three games before the playoffs to start focusing,” Atkinson said. “Our playoff prep starts now.”
Cleveland Betting Trends:
8-3 ATS in their last 11 games
6-1 ATS in their last seven home games
Over has hit in five of their last seven games
Cleveland split their first two meetings with Miami this season—falling 122-113 in December before bouncing back with a 126-106 win in January. Expect them to come out strong this time after slow starts in recent games.
Miami Heat
The Heat (36-26) are dealing with major injury concerns, but still managed a 106-90 win over the Wizards on Monday.
Bam Adebayo (19 points, 15 rebounds) broke the franchise record for career double-doubles (222) in the victory.
Miami had just nine available players but still held Washington to 36.9% shooting with their tenacious defense.
Coach Erik Spoelstra praised his team’s fight, calling them “a resilient group with great competitive character.”
Injury Report:
Kel’el Ware (knee), Andrew Wiggins (ankle), Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle), Nikola Jovic (hand) – OUT
Davion Mitchell (quad) – QUESTIONABLE
With so many key players sidelined, rookie guard Pelle Larsson stepped up, posting a career-high 16 points, four rebounds, and five assists.
“He brought energy and extra oomph,” Spoelstra said. “At key moments, he had his imprint.”
Miami Betting Trends:
1-4 ATS in their last five road games
5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. Cleveland
Under has hit in four of their last six games
Miami has struggled to find offensive consistency, and missing multiple key players against a red-hot Cavaliers team makes this an uphill battle.
Final Prediction & Betting Outlook
Cleveland is simply rolling right now, and Miami’s injuries leave them at a major disadvantage. The Cavs have been dominant at home and should control this game from start to finish.
Pick: Cleveland -10.5
Projected Score: Cleveland 121, Miami 108
Total Bet: Over 227.0
Cleveland’s offensive depth combined with Miami’s defensive gaps should push this over the total. Look for the Cavs to make another statement win as they prepare for the postseason.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
