Milwaukee (39-30) at Sacramento (35-34)
- When: Mar 22 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA, USA
- TV: NBA TV
Game Preview
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Breakdown
Record: 39-30 (15-18 Away)
Line: +2.5 | Total: 223.5
Milwaukee’s road form remains inconsistent as they hit the midway point of a five-game Western swing. After falling flat in a 104-93 loss to the Warriors, the Bucks bounced back by demolishing a depleted Lakers squad 118-89 on Thursday night. Giannis Antetokounmpo poured in 28 points while newcomer Gary Trent Jr. stepped up with 23.
Despite the win, head coach Doc Rivers was quick to put things into perspective. “We should’ve won, plain and simple. But we’re not reading too much into it,” he said.
The Bucks have now improved to 15-18 on the road but will again be without Damian Lillard (calf), which means Antetokounmpo’s offensive load will increase. A standout performer against L.A. was Ryan Rollins, who delivered defensive energy with 10 points, five boards, and three steals. Milwaukee will aim to sweep the season series against the Kings after beating them 130-115 in January behind 33 from Giannis.
Key Betting Trends:
Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Sacramento
Milwaukee has hit the Over in 6 of their last 8 road games
Giannis has averaged 31.5 PPG in his last 4 vs. Sacramento
Top Prop Picks:
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 31.5 Points
Bobby Portis Over 5.5 Rebounds
Gary Trent Jr. Over 2.5 Made 3 Points
Sacramento Kings Betting Breakdown
Record: 35-34 (20-14 Home)
Line: -2.5 | Total: 223.5
Sacramento enters Saturday’s matchup clinging to the 9-seed in the West but in desperate need of consistency. The Kings were embarrassed at home in a 128-116 loss to the Bulls, squandering a halftime lead and getting outscored by 21 in the second half. Malik Monk did everything he could with 34 points, but defensive lapses killed any momentum.
Head coach Doug Christie didn’t sugarcoat it. “We let them do whatever they wanted in our building — that’s unacceptable,” he said.
To make matters worse, Sacramento was dominated in the paint, giving up 60 points inside with Domantas Sabonis out due to an ankle injury. He’s set to be reevaluated next week, leaving a major void in the frontcourt.
Now, the Kings face a brutal stretch against the Bucks, Celtics, and Thunder. They’ll need to clean things up quickly, especially on the defensive end where they’ve struggled to slow down elite forwards like Giannis.
Key Betting Trends:
Kings are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS when favored by fewer than 3 points
Under has hit in 5 of their last 7 games
Top Prop Picks:
Malik Monk Over 18.5 Points
Keegan Murray Under 2.5 Made 3 Points
Kings Team Total Under 112.5
Prediction & Betting Picks
Milwaukee might be without Lillard, but they’ve shown the ability to rally behind Giannis and their role players. Sacramento is banged up and struggling defensively, especially without Sabonis. Expect Milwaukee to control the tempo and dominate inside again, much like they did in the January win.
Best Bet: Bucks (+115)
Lean: Under 223.5
Final Score Prediction: Bucks 112, Kings 108
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
