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Minnesota (5-8-0) at Dallas (6-6-1)
- When: Dec 14 2025, 8:20 PM
- Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
- Where to watch: NBC/Peacock
- Last Meeting: DAL 40-3, November 20th, 2022
Minnesota vs Dallas Preview & Prediction
Spread: Dallas -5.0
Moneyline: Dallas (-245)
Total: 47.5
Dallas Cowboys Breakdown
Dallas heads into Sunday night knowing the margin for error is gone. Sitting at 6-6-1, the Cowboys essentially need to treat the rest of the season like sudden death. A win here keeps the postseason math alive, and the timing is favorable with Philadelphia stumbling lately.
Dak Prescott has leaned into the pressure instead of shrinking from it. Dallas plays its best football when the offense stays aggressive early and avoids chasing points late. The recent defensive additions have helped stabilize the interior, allowing the Cowboys to be more disruptive up front and less reliant on perfect coverage on the back end.
At home, Dallas still pushes tempo and scores efficiently, especially when CeeDee Lamb is involved early. The concern remains consistency, but against a Minnesota team still ironing out its identity, Dallas holds the advantage in experience and game management.
Cowboys Player Prop Pick: Dak Prescott over 264.5 passing yards – Dallas will rely on Dak’s arm to control this game, especially against a Vikings defense that has struggled creating turnovers.
Minnesota Vikings Breakdown
Minnesota enters at 5-8 with fewer playoff illusions but plenty of motivation. Rookie quarterback J.J. McCarthy finally delivered a breakout performance last week, playing clean football and showing why the organization committed to him long term. The question now is whether that performance was a turning point or a one week spike.
Defensively, the Vikings remain solid in structure but have not generated enough takeaways this season. That has forced longer drives and tighter margins. When Minnesota can play from ahead, the defense becomes more effective. When chasing, cracks appear.
Offensively, Kevin O’Connell has quietly shifted toward balance, leaning on the run game to protect McCarthy. When the offensive line is intact, Minnesota can grind clock and shorten games, which is the blueprint they will try to follow in Dallas.
Vikings Player Prop Pick: Jordan Mason over 38.5 rushing yards – Minnesota will look to establish the run early to keep Prescott off the field and protect their young quarterback.
Expert Betting Outlook & NFL Prediction
Dallas is favored by 5.0, with the total at 47.5. Minnesota will compete early, but Dallas has more urgency, more experience, and more offensive firepower. Expect the Cowboys to pull away late.
Final Score: Cowboys 27, Vikings 20
Lean: Dallas -5.0
Total: Under 47.5
- NFL Football Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
