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Minnesota (15-9) at Golden State (13-12)
- When: Dec 12 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
- TV: NBCS-BA
Minnesota vs Golden State Preview & Prediction
Spread: Golden State -2.0
Moneyline: Golden State (-130)
Total: 230.5
Golden State Warriors Betting Breakdown
Golden State comes into this matchup as a 2 point home favorite with a total of 230.5, and the Warriors finally get some relief with Stephen Curry expected back in the lineup. The team survived a tough back to back without Curry, Draymond Green and Al Horford, yet still swept Cleveland and Chicago on pure stubbornness and a dash of chaos. Now they return home with reinforcements, even if Green and Horford remain sidelined.
Curry has historically roasted Minnesota, dropping 30 or more in three straight meetings last season. The Timberwolves backcourt does look different now, but Golden State will still lean heavily on Curry’s gravity and creation to set the tone offensively. The big question surrounds Jonathan Kuminga, who was benched in Chicago after a rough performance. Steve Kerr made it clear that nothing is guaranteed unless Kuminga brings steady, reliable play.
From a betting angle, Golden State’s home court bump and Curry’s return make them the rightful favorite, although their defensive consistency remains volatile.
Warriors Player Prop Pick: Stephen Curry over 24.5 points – Minnesota has slowed down most guards, but Curry’s track record against this defense speaks for itself.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Breakdown
Minnesota heads to San Francisco at full speed, boasting a 15-7 record in appearances by Jaylen Clark, whose defensive presence has quickly become part of the team’s identity. The Timberwolves’ season has been driven by Anthony Edwards playing volcanic basketball, posting four 40 point explosions in his last nine outings. His scoring has kept Minnesota competitive even as they adjust rotations and manage injuries.
Clark’s impact is simple: when he plays meaningful minutes, Minnesota wins. The team is undefeated this season when he sees at least 14 minutes, which should absolutely be the case against an elite shooting team like Golden State. Mike Conley has embraced his bench role with professionalism and leadership, helping stabilize the second unit.
The Timberwolves have allowed only four guards to score 30 or more all season, which shows how tough their perimeter defense has become. This matchup will test that strength immediately with Curry returning.
Timberwolves Player Prop Pick: Anthony Edwards over 27.5 points – He has been on a scoring tear and will need another big night to keep Minnesota close.
NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction
Golden State’s home court and the Curry return provide an immediate boost, but Minnesota’s defense is real, and Edwards is overwhelming almost every opponent right now. Expect a fast pace, plenty of scoring, and both stars throwing haymakers deep into the fourth quarter.
Final Score: Warriors 119, Timberwolves 115
Lean: Golden State -2.0
Total: Over 230.5
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
