Minnesota (46-33) at Memphis (47-32)
- When: Apr 10 2025, 9:30 PM
- Where: FedExForum, Memphis, TN, USA
- TV: TNT
NBA Game Preview & Betting Breakdown: Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
Spread: Minnesota -2 | Total: 231.0
Memphis Grizzlies Outlook
The Grizzlies (47-32) are staring down a narrow path to avoid the Western Conference play-in scenario: win their final three games. That mission begins Thursday night when they host the Timberwolves in what amounts to a playoff-caliber showdown.
Memphis has momentum, riding a three-game road win streak that includes a dominant 124-100 victory over the Hornets. However, rookie Jaylen Wells suffered a fractured wrist in that game, removing one of the team’s key defenders and perimeter scorers from the lineup.
The Grizzlies will likely lean on another first-year standout in Zach Edey, who is on a tear. Edey posted a massive 17-point, 19-rebound double-double against Charlotte after setting a rookie franchise record with 21 rebounds in Detroit. His ability to dominate the glass and play physically in the paint will be crucial, especially with Wells sidelined.
Grizzlies Betting Angle: Memphis has been quietly covering as an underdog, and they’ve already taken both meetings against Minnesota this season. With Edey surging and home-court edge, they’re not a team to dismiss despite the injuries.
Player Prop Picks:
Zach Edey Over 10.5 Rebounds – He’s in rhythm and playing heavy minutes with Wells out.
Desmond Bane Over 19.5 Points – He’s now the go-to perimeter scorer in the absence of Wells.
Minnesota Timberwolves Outlook
Minnesota (46-33) is still alive for a top-three seed but let a golden opportunity slip away Tuesday. The Timberwolves squandered a 24-point lead to Milwaukee, collapsing in the fourth quarter and losing 110-103 behind a stunning 40-13 final frame.
Despite that collapse, the Timberwolves had been one of the hottest teams in the West, winning five straight before Tuesday. The focus now shifts to snapping that loss and staying within striking distance of playoff positioning.
Anthony Edwards continues to be the engine for Minnesota, dropping 25 points against the Bucks but doing so inefficiently on 10-of-27 shooting. The Timberwolves will need a more polished offensive effort from their star in a bounce-back spot.
Timberwolves Betting Angle: The spread indicates a tight contest, and Minnesota’s loss to Milwaukee was more about momentum loss than structural issues. Still, with Memphis winning both head-to-head matchups this season, the pressure is on.
Player Prop Picks:
Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 Points – Big-time players respond after bad nights.
Donte DiVincenzo Over 11.5 Points – In his recent performances, he has surpassed the 11-point mark in several games.
Prediction & Best Bets
This is shaping up to be a war of attrition and focus. The Grizzlies are banged up but motivated and have already proven they can beat Minnesota — twice. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are healthier, but confidence might be shaky after blowing a 24-point lead.
Final Score Prediction: Grizzlies 116, Timberwolves 112
Best Bet: Grizzlies (+110)
Lean: Under 231 — Memphis will try to slow the game down and control tempo inside with Edey anchoring the paint.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
