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MLB Prediction and Picks on Phillies vs Nationals

The Phillies and the Nationals will meet on the field at Nationals Park in a battle of division rivals.

(Photo by Getty Images) Zack Wheeler
Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Nationals Park is the venue where the Washington Nationals (69-89) will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) on Saturday. The anticipated starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and MacKenzie Gore.

The Philadelphia Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 4th in the league. They have scored 774 runs with a team OBP of .326. Philadelphia has hit 284 doubles and 196 home runs. The team has 740 RBIs and 1,405 hits this season, with a batting average of .258. Their slugging percentage is .427 with 1,344 strikeouts and 507 walks.

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The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.81 this season, ranking 9th in baseball. They have struck out 1,401 batters and allowed 177 home runs and 653 runs (10th in the league). The pitching staff has walked 436 batters with a FIP of 3.86. Philadelphia has given up 1,303 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 600 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.21 with a WHIP of 1.23.

The Phillies have used 506 relievers this season. The bullpen has inherited 133 runners and 35.3% scored. They have 36 saves and blown 19, with a save percentage of 65.5%. Philadelphia has 75 holds and entered the game in 131 save situations. They have appeared with runners on base 95 times and 166 times in high leverage situations.

Philadelphia has converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs in 12,759 innings, ranking 20th in the majors. The Phillies have 4,253 putouts, 1,442 assists, and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage is .986, ranking 13th, and they have turned 118 double plays.

Wheeler, with a 3.29 FIP, has faced 6,478 hitters in his career with 1,365 hits allowed. He has 455 walks, a 3.34 ERA, and 1,614 strikeouts in 1,572 innings.

Washington has hit 130 home runs and 600 RBIs this season. They have 265 doubles, 447 walks, and 638 runs with an OBP of .308 and a batting average of .241. The Nationals have a slugging percentage of .373 and score 4.04 runs per game (25th in the league). They have struck out 1,182 times (26th) and have 1,263 hits.

Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 747 runs with a 4.30 ERA (668 earned runs). They have given up 165 homers and 4.81 runs per 9 innings (25th). The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.333 and a FIP of 3.94 with a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30. They are ranked 28th in total hits allowed with 1,403.

Washington relievers have inherited 36.2% of 218 runners and have come in 134 times in high leverage situations. They have had 142 save opportunities with 80 holds and 22 blown saves, ranking 15th in save rate at 64.5%. The Nationals have sent 554 relief pitchers to the mound with 62 save opportunities and 40 saves earned.

In 12,582 innings played, the Nationals have a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (29th). They have turned 153 double plays with a fielding percentage of .981 (28th), 1,399 assists, 107 errors, and 4,194 putouts.

Gore, with 368 hits allowed and 395 K’s in 366 innings, has a 4.28 ERA with 174 earned runs. He has a WHIP of 1.436, a FIP of 4.2, and a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50, facing 1,601 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Free Pick: Take Washington +1.5 (+100)

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