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New York (17-7) at Dallas (7-19)
- When: Jul 28 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: College Park Center, Arlington, TX, USA
- TV: ESPN
New York vs Dallas – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: New York -8.5 | Total: 170.0
New York Liberty Outlook
The Liberty (17-7) will start their four-game road trip short-handed, as Breanna Stewart, their seven-time All-Star and two-time MVP, is sidelined with a lower leg injury. While her absence is expected to be temporary, it’s still a big void for a team looking to regain its dominant early-season form.
After opening the season 9-0, New York has cooled off with an 8-7 stretch, but they still hold the league’s second-best record behind Minnesota. Sabrina Ionescu has stepped up as the offensive engine, averaging 19.3 points per game while also leading the team in steals (1.5). Her leadership and scoring ability will be crucial in this matchup.
Even without Stewart, New York nearly pulled off a comeback against the Sparks on Saturday, erasing a 15-point deficit before falling on a buzzer-beating layup. The Liberty will lean on ball movement, perimeter shooting, and Ionescu’s playmaking to handle a struggling Dallas defense.
Liberty Player Prop to Watch: Sabrina Ionescu Over 21.5 Points. With Stewart out, expect Ionescu to take more scoring responsibility and push past her average.
Dallas Wings Outlook
The Dallas Wings (7-19) are coming off a 106-80 beatdown against the Las Vegas Aces, their highest point total allowed this season. Fatigue might be a factor, as this matchup is part of a grueling five-game-in-seven-day stretch. Rookie star Paige Bueckers (18.1 PPG, 5.6 APG) returns to the lineup after resting on Sunday, and Dallas will need her firepower to keep pace with New York.
Defense has been Dallas’ Achilles’ heel, allowing opponents to score at will. Head coach Chris Koclanes emphasized the need for more pride and consistency on the defensive end, but against a sharp-shooting Liberty team, that’s easier said than done.
Wings Player Prop to Watch: Paige Bueckers Over 5.5 Assists. With Dallas needing ball movement to stay competitive, Bueckers’ playmaking role will be vital.
WNBA Prediction & Betting Outlook
New York’s depth and offensive versatility should be too much for a Wings squad that’s struggling on both ends. Expect the Liberty to dictate the pace and cover the spread.
Best Bet: New York -8.5
Toral: Under 170.0
Final Score Prediction: New York 88, Dallas 77
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
