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Knicks vs Warriors Odds, Parlay Pick and Expert Prediction

Expert handicapper breakdown of Knicks vs Warriors with spread, total, key props, and final score prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Stephen Curry
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New York (25-15) at Golden State (22-19)

  • When: Jan 15 2026, 10:00 PM
  • Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
  • TV: Prime Video

New York vs Golden State Preview & Prediction

Spread: Golden State -7.0
Moneyline: Golden State (-250)
Total: 229.0

Golden State Warriors Betting Breakdown

Golden State enters this game riding steady momentum while dealing with a very public case of locker room awkwardness. Jonathan Kuminga’s status continues to hover over the team, but on the court, the Warriors have handled business just fine. They have won nine of their last thirteen and look increasingly comfortable with their current rotation.

The Warriors just dismantled Portland by turning the arena into a three point shooting clinic, moving the ball freely and playing with pace. Steph Curry remains the engine, but what stands out lately is how connected this group looks offensively. The ball rarely sticks, and defensive lapses are quickly punished with transition threes.

At home, Golden State plays faster and with more confidence. Even without full roster clarity, the Warriors have shown they can control games with spacing, ball movement, and experience. Against a tired Knicks team on a back to back, that matters.

Golden State’s depth and shooting profile well in this spot, especially if they jump out early and force New York into chase mode.

Warriors Player Prop Pick: Stephen Curry over 27.5 points – Curry’s usage climbs at home, and New York’s tired legs could struggle chasing him through screens all night.

New York Knicks Betting Breakdown

The Knicks limp into San Francisco after another tough road loss and a growing list of concerns. The biggest question surrounds Jalen Brunson, who exited early with ankle trouble. Even if he suits up, his effectiveness is uncertain, and New York’s offense looks very different without his physical downhill pressure.

This road trip has not been kind. The Knicks have struggled with aggressiveness, particularly on defense, allowing opponents to dictate pace and draw fouls. Without Brunson setting the tone, New York has had issues creating clean looks and stopping dribble penetration.

New York still has capable scorers and can compete in stretches, but fatigue is a real factor here. On a back to back against a rested Warriors team, defensive discipline becomes harder to maintain, especially when rotations slip just a half step late.

If the Knicks want to stay within the number, they will need efficient scoring early and must avoid foul trouble that hands Golden State easy points.

Knicks Player Prop Pick: Karl Anthony Towns under 23.5 points – Golden State’s defensive scheme limits interior touches, and Towns may see reduced scoring opportunities in a pace driven matchup.

NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction

This matchup leans strongly toward Golden State. They are rested, at home, and playing clean offensive basketball. New York arrives short on recovery time and potentially without its offensive leader at full strength.

The spread is reasonable given the situational edge, and Golden State has the firepower to create separation quickly. The total sits high, but Golden State’s pace and shooting should do most of the heavy lifting.

Golden State covers the spread comfortably, while New York struggles to keep up late as fatigue and matchup issues show.

Final Score: Warriors 121, Knicks 110
Lean: Golden State -7.0
Total: 
Over 229.0 

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