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New York (17-8) at Minnesota (22-5)
- When: Jul 30 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: ESPN
New York vs Minnesota – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Minnesota -8.0 | Total: 166.5
Minnesota Lynx
The Lynx are in a bounce-back mindset after their 90-86 home loss to the Atlanta Dream, their first home defeat in league play this season. Sitting at 22-5, Minnesota has been dominant all year, thriving behind the MVP-level play of Napheesa Collier, who leads the WNBA with 23.5 points per game and 7.7 rebounds. Courtney Williams continues to be the team’s floor general, averaging 6.1 assists alongside 14.1 points, while Kayla McBride’s consistent outside shooting (14.0 ppg) adds another layer to their offense.
Coach Cheryl Reeve has made it clear that last year’s Finals loss to New York isn’t on her team’s mind anymore. The Lynx are locked in on maintaining their home-court dominance and continuing their push for the top playoff seed.
Player Prop Pick (Lynx): Napheesa Collier – Over 22.5 Points. Collier’s offensive workload will only grow against New York’s frontcourt if Breanna Stewart is limited.
New York Liberty
The Liberty enter this matchup with a 17-8 record but are coming off back-to-back losses against the Sparks and Wings. In an effort to regroup, they held a closed-door meeting to focus on limiting turnovers and improving consistency. Sabrina Ionescu leads the team with 19.3 points per game and remains lethal from beyond the arc. Breanna Stewart (18.3 ppg, 6.5 rpg) is questionable with a lower-leg injury, while Jonquel Jones (13.8 ppg, 9.3 rpg) provides steady inside presence.
Adding intrigue to this game is the recent signing of Emma Meesseman, who chose New York over Minnesota. Expect the Liberty to come out with extra intensity as they look to shake off their mini slump.
Player Prop Pick (Liberty): Sabrina Ionescu – Over 2.5 Made Threes. With Stewart’s status uncertain, Ionescu’s perimeter shooting will be crucial.
Prediction
Minnesota’s depth, star power, and home-court advantage make them tough to bet against here. The Liberty’s recent struggles and Stewart’s uncertainty could be the deciding factor.
Best Bet: Minnesota -8.0
Toral: Over 166.5
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 89, New York 79
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
