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Mets vs Braves Betting Preview, Odds and Expert Prediction

Expert Mets vs Braves betting preview with odds, analysis, pitching matchup and score prediction for Saturday’s NL East showdown

(Photo by Getty Images) Clay Holmes
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NY Mets (68-60) at Atlanta (58-70)

  • When: Aug 23 2025, 7:15 PM
  • Where: Truist Park, Atlanta
  • Where to watch: FDSSO

Mets vs Braves – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props

Moneyline: NY Mets -118
Total: 9.5
RunLine: NY Mets -1.5 (+138)

New York Mets Betting Outlook

The Mets enter Saturday’s clash as slight -118 moneyline favorites with the total set at 9.5, coming off a 12-7 slugfest win in the opener. Their bats exploded for 21 hits, led by Francisco Lindor, who is on a red-hot 10-game hitting streak batting .512 during that stretch.

On the mound, Clay Holmes (10-6, 3.64 ERA) gets the call. While his transition from bullpen ace to rotation workhorse has raised concerns about late-season fatigue, Holmes insists he’s locked in. He bounced back with a win against Seattle in his last start, surrendering just one run across five innings. Against Atlanta, he has a respectable 2-1 record with a 3.70 ERA in 13 appearances.

Mets Prop Pick: Francisco Lindor to record 2+ total bases — riding his scorching stretch, he’s been nearly unstoppable at the plate.

Atlanta Braves Betting Outlook

The Braves are scrambling for rotation stability, and Saturday will feature yet another experiment. Cal Quantrill (4-10, 5.50 ERA) makes his Atlanta debut after being claimed off waivers from Miami. Once a reliable arm, Quantrill’s recent form has been rough, an 11.25 ERA over his last three starts and seven earned runs allowed in his most recent outing against Boston.

This marks the 17th different starting pitcher used by Atlanta this season, a reflection of their injury woes. Quantrill has struggled historically against the Mets as well, posting an 0-1 record with a 7.07 ERA across three career starts. Atlanta will hope its offense can offset shaky pitching, but consistency has been hard to find lately.

Braves Prop Pick: Matt Olson to hit a home run — the Mets’ bullpen can be leaky late, and Olson’s power remains Atlanta’s best weapon.

MLB Prediction & Betting Angle

The Mets’ bats are alive, Holmes has steadied himself, and Lindor is carrying this lineup with MVP-level production. Atlanta’s constant rotation shuffle is hard to back, especially with Quantrill’s recent struggles.

Final Score Prediction: Mets 7, Braves 4
Lean: NY Mets (-118)
Total: 
Over 9.5 (-105) 

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