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NY Mets (62-44) at San Diego (57-49)
- When: Jul 28 2025, 9:40 PM
- Where: PETCO Park, San Diego
- Where to watch: SNY
Mets vs. Padres – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: San Diego -125
Total: 8.0
RunLine: San Diego -1.5 (+160)
San Diego Padres Betting Outlook
The Padres (53-51) return home fresh off a 9-2 win in St. Louis, closing out a 5-5 road trip with an offensive surge. Their bats exploded for 16 hits in the finale, marking their highest run total since an 11-run outburst against the Dodgers back in June.
The spotlight is on Dylan Cease (3-10, 4.59 ERA), who could be making his final start for San Diego with the trade deadline looming. Cease remains a strikeout machine (144 Ks in 113 2/3 innings), but his season has been marred by costly home runs and inconsistent execution. Against the Mets, he’s struggled historically, going 0-3 with a 6.88 ERA in three career starts.
Padres Player Prop to Watch:
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases. Machado’s bat has heated up, and with Cease under pressure, expect him to provide key offense.
New York Mets Betting Outlook
The Mets (57-47) are red-hot, sweeping the Giants over the weekend and grabbing a 1.5-game lead in the NL East. Their pitching staff, bolstered by the recent addition of lefty reliever Gregory Soto from Baltimore, has been sharp, with Soto debuting Sunday by throwing a perfect inning with a strikeout.
Frankie Montas (3-1, 4.62 ERA) will take the mound for New York. While Montas has been inconsistent this season, he is coming off a solid outing against the Angels, going 5 2/3 innings and allowing only two runs. He’s also fared well against the Padres in his career, posting a 1-0 record with a 3.86 ERA in three appearances.
Mets Player Prop to Watch:
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases. Lindor’s bat has been clutch during New York’s seven-game win streak, and his hot form could continue against Cease.
Game Prediction & Betting Lean
The Padres’ offense is streaky, and Cease’s track record against New York is concerning. With the Mets riding a wave of momentum, they have the edge in a tight matchup.
Final Score Prediction: Mets 5, Padres 3
Lean: NY Mets (+107)
Total: Over 7.5 Alt Lines (-130)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
