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NY Mets (62-46) at San Diego (59-49)
- When: Jul 30 2025, 4:10 PM
- Where: PETCO Park, San Diego
- Where to watch: MLB Network
Mets vs Padres – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: NY Mets -114
Total: 8.5
RunLine: NY Mets -1.5 (+152)
New York Mets Betting Outlook
The Mets roll into the series finale with hopes of avoiding a sweep, but the lineup could be shorthanded. Juan Soto, who’s hitting .248 with 25 homers and 62 RBIs, left Tuesday’s 7-1 loss after fouling a pitch off his foot. While X-rays came back negative, his status for Wednesday is uncertain.
The Mets’ offense has cooled lately, with Francisco Lindor hitting just 8-for-55 and Pete Alonso stuck in a brutal 5-for-57 slump. If Soto can’t go, the pressure ramps up on this group to produce against a struggling Yu Darvish.
Clay Holmes (9-5, 3.40 ERA) will try to notch his 10th win of the year. He’s coming off a solid 8-1 win over the Giants where he allowed only one run over five innings.
Player Prop to Watch (Mets):
Francisco Lindor — To Record a Hit. With Soto’s availability in question, Lindor will need to step up at the plate.
San Diego Padres Betting Outlook
The Padres are on fire, riding a four-game winning streak while scoring 26 runs during that span. The bottom of their lineup has been surprisingly effective, with catcher Elias Diaz delivering clutch hits, including a two-run double that fueled Tuesday’s big seventh inning. Jose Iglesias added two hits and a walk, showing this lineup’s depth.
Yu Darvish (0-3, 9.18 ERA) hasn’t looked sharp since returning from the IL, giving up eight runs in just 3 2/3 innings during his last outing against St. Louis. Still, Darvish’s career track record against the Mets (5-1, 3.23 ERA in 10 starts) suggests he’s capable of a bounce-back effort.
Player Prop to Watch (Padres):
Manny Machado — Total Bases Over 1.5. Machado remains a key power threat capable of taking advantage of Holmes’ occasional fastball mislocation.
Game Prediction & Betting Lean
With Darvish’s recent struggles and the Mets desperate to avoid a sweep, New York holds the slight edge if Soto is in the lineup. Expect a close, high-scoring game, with the Mets edging out a 5-4 victory.
Final Score Prediction: Mets 5, Padres 4
Lean: NY Mets (-114)
Total: Over 8.5 (-112)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
