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Yankees vs Orioles Odds, Prediction & Betting Preview

Yankees vs Orioles betting preview with odds, matchup analysis, and prediction for Thursday’s AL East clash.

(Photo by Getty Images) Max Fried
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NY Yankees (85-67) at Baltimore (72-80)

  • When: Sep 18 2025, 7:15 PM
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
  • Where to watch: FOX

Yankees vs. Orioles – Game Betting Preview & Prediction

Moneyline: NY Yankees -204 
Spread: NY Yankees -1.5 (-130)
Total: 9.0

Game Odds & Overview

The New York Yankees enter as -204 moneyline favorites with the total set at 9.0 runs for Thursday’s opener against the Baltimore Orioles. With both teams showing recent offensive sparks, this four-game set has plenty of betting intrigue.

New York Yankees Betting Outlook

The Yankees (85-67) are heating up at the right time, winning five of their last seven and putting up 10 runs in back-to-back victories over the Twins. Their lineup has been relentless, with Aaron Judge anchoring the middle and Cody Bellinger closing in on another 30-homer season.

Bellinger’s 97 RBIs make him a key part of New York’s late-season surge, particularly in clutch situations behind Judge. Manager Aaron Boone praised his knack for producing with runners on base, calling him “a luxury” in the order.

On the mound, Max Fried (17-5, 3.03 ERA) is in top form, riding a personal five-decision winning streak. He’s been sharp over the last month and is closing in on a new career high for innings pitched. His track record against Baltimore is modest, but his current form makes him a reliable betting angle.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Outlook

Baltimore (72-80) continues to play spoiler, winning 11 of their last 15. They showcased their aggressiveness with a franchise-record seven stolen bases in Wednesday’s finale against the White Sox. Gunnar Henderson, despite a dip in power, set a career high with three steals in that game.

Rookie Dylan Beavers also keeps making an impression, adding a home run Wednesday as part of his consistent offensive growth. The Orioles remain a scrappy lineup capable of manufacturing runs in multiple ways.

Left-hander Cade Povich (3-7, 5.05 ERA) will take the ball for Baltimore. He’s pitched into the fifth inning or beyond in his last three outings but continues to be vulnerable to the long ball, giving up five homers in his last five starts. His history against the Yankees has been rocky, with command issues leading to walks and runs in past matchups.

MLB Prediction & Betting Angle

The Yankees have the superior starter in Fried and a lineup firing on all cylinders, while Baltimore’s aggressive style could help keep things interesting. With New York pushing for playoff positioning, the edge lies with the road favorites.

Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Orioles 3
Pick: NY Yankees -1.5 (-130)
Total: Over 8.5 Alt Lines (-135) 

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