NY Yankees (48-39) at NY Mets (50-38)
- When: Jul 4 2025, 3:10 PM
- Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
- Where to watch: SNY
Yankees vs. Mets – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: NY Mets -114
Total: 9.5
Spread: NY Mets -1.5 (+165)
New York Mets Betting Preview
The Mets may have finally hit the brakes on a brutal slump. After losing 14 of 17, they’ve bounced back with two straight wins over Milwaukee, regaining a pulse just in time for a showdown with their crosstown rivals. Brandon Nimmo has been the spark, he crushed a grand slam Wednesday, followed by another homer the next day.
The club now owns a solid 31-13 home record, and their 16-12 mark in one-run games shows they can survive tight spots.
On the mound, rookie Justin Hagenman (0-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his first MLB start. He’s only logged two appearances this season, but he’s shown decent command and composure in relief. How deep he goes could be the X-factor.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The Yankees enter this rivalry series skidding hard, losers of 14 of their last 20. A four-game sweep in Toronto only worsened the mood, but manager Aaron Boone insists this is just a “storm to weather.”
One bright spot: Jasson Dominguez is raking. The young slugger is hitting .419 across his last 12 games and has looked locked in at the plate.
They’ll hand the ball to Marcus Stroman (1-1, 8.16 ERA), a former Met who made a successful return from injury last weekend. He held Oakland to just one run over five innings but faces a tougher task here, especially at Citi Field. Stroman’s career ERA vs. the Mets sits at 4.76.
Prediction
This edition of the Subway Series has both teams limping in, but the Mets have the momentum and the home-field edge. While Hagenman is untested as a starter, his brief appearances were solid, and Stroman still looks like a wild card post-injury. Expect fireworks in Queens with two volatile pitching matchups and some hot bats on both sides.
Score Prediction: Mets 6, Yankees 4
Pick: NY Mets (-114)
Total: Over 9.5 (+100)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
