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NY Yankees (55-44) at Toronto (58-41)
- When: Jul 21 2025, 7:07 PM
- Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto
- Where to watch: CTV Sportsnet
Yankees vs Blue Jays – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: NY Yankees -118
Total: 8.5
RunLine: NY Yankees -1.5 (+145)
New York Yankees Betting Outlook
The Yankees enter this series looking for redemption after being swept by the Blue Jays in Toronto during their last visit in late June. That series flipped the standings and cost New York its AL East lead. Now, trailing by three games, the Yankees see this matchup as a chance to regain momentum.
New York is fresh off a 4-2 road win over the Atlanta Braves, wrapping up a series victory after a gritty comeback effort on Saturday, highlighted by Trent Grisham’s grand slam. Aaron Judge continues to be the Yankees’ heartbeat, smashing his 36th home run on Sunday and tying Alex Rodriguez for sixth on the Yankees’ all-time list with 351.
Carlos Rodón (10-6, 3.08 ERA) gets the start. Though his career numbers against Toronto are mixed (2-2, 4.85 ERA over eight starts), Rodón is capable of overpowering any lineup when his slider is working. His last outing against the Jays was a five-inning, two-run no-decision on June 30.
Player Prop Pick – Yankees:
Aaron Judge to Hit a Home Run – Judge’s power surge and success in big spots make him the offensive centerpiece in this game.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Outlook
Toronto comes into this series scorching hot, riding a 10-game home winning streak that ties the franchise record set in 1985. With their 8-6 win over the San Francisco Giants on Sunday, they remain firmly atop the AL East standings.
Kevin Gausman (6-7, 4.19 ERA) will start for the Jays. Despite being a proven veteran, Gausman has struggled against the Yankees this season, with an ugly 9.39 ERA over two starts. He was rocked for seven earned runs in an April loss in New York and settled for a no-decision in a July 1 matchup.
Toronto’s offense is led by the steady bats of Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., while Wilyer Abreu’s recent hot streak adds a boost.
Player Prop Pick – Blue Jays:
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases – Vlad’s ability to thrive in high-leverage matchups makes him a solid threat against Rodón.
Game Prediction & Betting Lean
The Yankees’ lineup is firing again with Judge and Stanton heating up, while Rodón is the more reliable starter compared to Gausman’s shaky numbers against New York. Toronto’s home-field streak adds intrigue, but the Yankees are primed for payback.
Final Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4
Lean: NY Yankees (-118)
Total: Over 8.5 (+100)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
