Philadelphia (8-3) at Atlanta (2-9)
- When: Apr 10 2025, 7:15 PM
- Where: Truist Park, Atlanta
- Where to watch: FDSSO
MLB Expert Breakdown & Predictions: Phillies at Braves
Moneyline: Atlanta -124 | Total: 7.5
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
Fresh off a nail-biting 4-3 win in the series opener, Philadelphia rides a wave of momentum into Thursday night’s finale in Atlanta. Trea Turner’s clutch ninth-inning homer gave the Phillies their sixth win in the last eight games, capping a scrappy stretch where six straight matchups have been decided by two runs or fewer.
With Bryce Harper also going yard and Jose Alvarado securing the W from the bullpen, the Phillies are proving their mettle in close games. The offense isn’t overpowering, but it’s timely — something bettors love to see in underdog spots.
On the mound, Jesus Luzardo (2-0, 1.50 ERA) continues to prove his offseason acquisition was a steal. He’s fresh off a dominant seven-inning shutout of the Dodgers and has given up just two earned runs in 12 innings. Luzardo brings a confident presence, and while he’s 3-3 with a 4.29 ERA lifetime against the Braves, his recent form suggests another strong outing is in play.
Key Player Prop Picks – Phillies
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases
Jesus Luzardo Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Braves are spiraling to start the season, dropping nine of their last 11 and matching their worst start since 2016. Despite Austin Riley’s game-tying homer Wednesday, Atlanta continues to struggle with situational hitting — batting a meager .215 and sitting near the bottom of the league in runs scored.
That said, all hope isn’t lost. Atlanta sends rising right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach (1-0, 0.00 ERA) to the mound. The sophomore has been sensational, throwing 14 scoreless innings while giving up just three hits. He’s 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA against the Phillies and will be key if the Braves hope to steal the series.
Still, unless the bats wake up, even another gem from Schwellenbach may not be enough.
Key Player Prop Picks – Braves
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Home Runs
Spencer Schwellenbach Under 2.5 Earned Runs
Expert Game Prediction
Philadelphia is playing better baseball right now, both offensively and on the mound. Luzardo has been locked in, and with the Braves failing to capitalize on scoring chances, the value is on the slight underdog. Expect a low-scoring duel with Philly squeaking out another close win.
Best Bet: Phillies +104
Total Prediction: Under 7.5 (-120)
Final Score: Phillies 4, Braves 2
- MLB Odds source: MYBookie Sportsbook
