Philadelphia (47-34) at Atlanta (37-43)
- When: Jun 27 2025, 7:15 PM
- Where: Truist Park, Atlanta
- Where to watch: NBCS-PH
Phillies vs Braves – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Atlanta -145
Total: 9.0
RunLine: Atlanta -1.5 (+149)
Atlanta Braves Outlook
Back home and trailing 10 games in the division, the Braves are running out of margin for error. After a disappointing 4-0 shutout loss to the Mets, Atlanta manager Brian Snitker made it clear, this team needs to dominate every series from here on out. Offensively, the Braves have sputtered in key moments, scoring just three runs across their last two games. Friday night’s opener vs. the Phillies is critical.
Bryce Elder (2-4, 4.77 ERA) takes the mound looking to stabilize things. He was hit hard by Miami in his last start, allowing 10 hits and five runs, but has fared decently against Philadelphia in his young career (3.38 ERA over two starts). Command has been his biggest issue, giving up seven walks in just 10 2/3 innings against them. He’ll need better control if Atlanta hopes to get back on track.
Braves Player Props Picks:
Austin Riley – Over 1.5 Total Bases – Riley has been one of the few consistent bats in the lineup and thrives in home games.
Ozzie Albies – To Record a Run – Batting near the top of the order, Albies’ speed and ability to get on base gives him strong scoring potential if Elder keeps it close.
Philadelphia Phillies Outlook
The Phillies come into this series licking their wounds after being swept by Houston, despite giving up only five total runs across three games. That kind of offensive failure is rare, and Philly hitters know it’s time to wake up. With a 47-34 record and just a half-game back in the NL East, the pressure is mounting as the season’s second half begins.
Rookie righty Mick Abel (2-1, 3.47 ERA) gets the call in what will be his first career appearance against Atlanta. His last outing was rough, tagged for four runs in three innings by the Mets, but his potential is clear. The question is whether Philly’s sluggish lineup can do enough to support him against a desperate Braves squad.
Phillies Player Props Picks:
Trea Turner – Over 1.5 Total Bases – Turner has voiced the urgency and often backs it up at the plate, especially after slumps.
Kyle Schwarber – To Hit a Home Run – With Harper sidelined, Schwarber becomes the primary power threat, especially against mistake-prone right-handers like Elder.
Betting Insight & Prediction
Atlanta returns home hungry and has the edge in experience on the mound. Both teams are in offensive funks and with two capable starters on the hill, this could stay tight. Atlanta bounces back behind a solid outing from Elder and enough run support to take Game 1.
Final Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 3
Lean: Atlanta RL -1.5 (+149)
Total: Under 9.0 (-103)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
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