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Philadelphia (68-49) at Cincinnati (62-57)
- When: Aug 11 2025, 6:10 PM
- Where: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
- Where to watch: FDSOH
Phillies vs. Reds – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Cincinnati -128
Spread: Cincinnati -1.5 (+154)
Total: 9.5
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
After a grueling nine-day, three-city road trip, the Cincinnati Reds (4-4 over that stretch) finally get to sleep in their own beds. Their last home game was August 1, and they’re eager to feed off the home crowd in the opener against the Phillies.
Spencer Steer was a road warrior, notching two separate four-RBI games, including in Sunday’s 14-8 slugfest win over the Pirates. The Reds desperately need this momentum as they enter a six-game homestand with tough competition.
On the mound, All-Star lefty Andrew Abbott (8-2, 2.34 ERA) looks to rebound from his first loss since early June. He’s been stingy all season but did allow two home runs in his last outing, a rare blemish. At home, Abbott has been dominant, and he’ll look to keep the ball in the park against Philly’s power hitters.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The NL East-leading Phillies are riding high after a three-game sweep of the Texas Rangers, pushing their division lead to 5.5 games. Their defense has been a difference-maker, highlighted by Harrison Bader’s jaw-dropping home-run robbery against Corey Seager on Sunday.
Taijuan Walker (4-5, 3.53 ERA) takes the ball, fresh off six scoreless innings against the Orioles. Walker’s history at Great American Ball Park is strong (2-0, 3.00 ERA), and his improved control lately makes him a real threat to silence Cincinnati’s bats.
Betting Outlook & Prediction
The Reds have the advantage of rest and home-field energy after a draining road trip, but the Phillies’ momentum and Walker’s past success in Cincinnati can’t be ignored. This one has the makings of a tight, mid-scoring battle.
Lean: Cincinnati ML and slight under on the total, as both starters have the tools to limit damage despite recent offensive bursts.
Score Prediction: Reds 5, Phillies 4
Pick: Cincinnati (-128)
Total: Under 9.5 (-111)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
