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Philadelphia (80-58) at Milwaukee (85-54)
- When: Sep 3 2025, 7:40 PM
- Where: American Family Field, Milwaukee
- Where to watch: FDSWI
Phillies vs Brewers – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Milwaukee -114
Total: 9.0
RunLine: Milwaukee -1.5 (+156)
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Outlook
The Phillies (80-58) enter Wednesday looking to clinch this heavyweight matchup of division leaders after a dramatic 10-8 comeback victory in the opener. Philadelphia had been swept at home by Milwaukee back in May, so stealing one in hostile territory was a statement. Brandon Marsh, who delivered the go-ahead RBI single, has been scorching at the plate, batting .343 over his last 34 games.
Aaron Nola (3-7, 6.47 ERA) will get the ball, and while his season numbers are shaky, his career history against the Brewers is the opposite. Since 2016, Nola has been dominant versus Milwaukee, going 7-2 with a 2.64 ERA across 14 starts. He’s 2-0 since returning from the IL, though traffic on the bases has still been an issue. Bettors should note that the Phillies’ lineup is dangerous enough to cover his occasional lapses.
Phillies Player Prop Pick: Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 total bases – he’s red hot and seeing the ball well.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Outlook
Milwaukee (85-54) still holds the best record in baseball and a comfortable NL Central lead, but Monday’s blown opportunity stung. The Brewers had rallied back to tie before Uribe gave up the decisive run in the ninth. Still, with a day off Tuesday, they should be refreshed for the rematch.
Jose Quintana (10-5, 3.69 ERA) takes the mound. The veteran southpaw has been mostly reliable, though his last outing was rocky, giving up six runs to Arizona in less than four innings. Against Philadelphia, he has a 3.53 career ERA in 13 starts, including a no-decision earlier this year when he held them to two runs over five frames. With the Brewers’ balanced lineup and bullpen, they’ll be favored to bounce back, listed as -114 moneyline favorites with the total set at 9.0 runs.
Brewers Player Prop Pick: Christian Yelich Over 0.5 runs scored – he sets the table and consistently finds ways to get across home plate.
MLB Prediction & Betting Angle
This clash has all the makings of a postseason preview. The Phillies carry momentum from Monday’s comeback, but the Brewers are too steady to drop two straight at home. With Nola shaky despite his history against Milwaukee, and Quintana due for a rebound, this looks like a tight contest with late drama again.
Final Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Phillies 4
Lean: Milwaukee (-114)
Total: Over 8.5 Alt Lines (-135)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
