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Phillies vs Mets Prediction & Odds: NL East Showdown

Phillies favored vs Mets Monday night. Get odds, preview & pick.

(Photo by Getty Images) Kodai Senga
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Philadelphia (76-54) at NY Mets (69-61)

  • When: Aug 25 2025, 7:10 PM
  • Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
  • Where to watch: SNY

Phillies vs. Mets – Game Betting Preview & Prediction

Moneyline: Philadelphia -128 
Spread: Philadelphia -1.5 (+136)
Total: 8.0

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Phillies enter this matchup as the moneyline favorite (-128) with the total sitting at 8.0 runs. Philadelphia keeps building separation in the NL East after fending off Washington over the weekend, winning the series finale 3-2. Their recent stretch has been one of the strongest in the National League, going 37-25 since mid-June, second only to Milwaukee.

Cristopher Sanchez takes the mound with an 11-4 record and a 2.46 ERA, giving the Phillies a steady left-handed presence. He’s been consistent in keeping opponents off balance, and with Philadelphia’s offense capable of breaking games open, the Phillies look poised to carry momentum into this division clash. Despite dropping two of three at Citi Field earlier this season, their form since late June makes them the steadier side in this matchup.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The Mets return home after a gut-punch loss in Atlanta where they were just 10 outs away from a sweep, only to give up late runs in a 4-3 defeat. That collapse not only cost them momentum but also trimmed their wild-card cushion to just 1.5 games over the Reds. Since mid-June, New York has stumbled badly, going 24-37, tied for one of the worst marks in the majors.

Kodai Senga (7-5, 2.58 ERA) will get the start and has historically handled the Phillies well, posting a 1.46 ERA across two career regular-season starts. But the Mets’ struggles in closing out games and their inconsistency at the plate remain glaring issues. Even with Senga’s strong splits, the Mets’ bullpen and clutch hitting have been unreliable.

MLB Betting Outlook & Prediction

This series opener has the feel of a momentum matchup: the Phillies are climbing, the Mets are sliding. With Sanchez pitching effectively and Philadelphia playing with confidence, they look like the safer side. The Mets’ late-inning collapses continue to be a liability that’s hard to overlook.

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 3
Pick: Philadelphia (-128)
Total: Over 7.5 Alt Lines (-130) 

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