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Philadelphia (76-56) at NY Mets (71-61)
- When: Aug 27 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
- Where to watch: NBCS-PH
Pete’s Bat Stays Hot, Phillies’ Pitching Stays Generous
Moneyline: NY Mets (-154)
Runline: NY Mets -1.5 (+139)
Total: 9.0
New York Mets: Hot Bats, Hotter Favorites
The Mets enter this showdown as -154 moneyline favorites with the total set at 9.0 runs, and honestly, it makes sense. New York is cooking right now, winning seven of their last ten and outscoring opponents by nearly 30 runs in that span. Pete Alonso is smashing baseballs like they insulted his mother, dropping four hits on Philly Tuesday. He’s up to 29 homers and 105 RBIs, because apparently Citi Field doubles as his personal launch pad.
On the mound, rookie Nolan McLean (2-0, 1.46 ERA) has been sharp early in his career, giving Mets fans reason to believe the next ace is sprouting. With an ERA tighter than a New York landlord’s rent policy and a WHIP under 1.00, he’s been the kind of guy gamblers trust to keep things steady. The Mets are also 43-24 at home, proving they don’t just like Queens, they dominate it.
Philadelphia Phillies: Great Team, Bad Timing
The Phillies remain first in the NL East at 76-56, but they’ve hit a patch of mediocrity on the road with a 34-34 record away from Citizens Bank Park. Their offense is still dangerous, ranking top 10 in slugging at .422, and Bryce Harper continues to be Bryce Harper with 21 homers and 62 RBIs. But the bullpen and rotation depth have been springing leaks, Taijuan Walker (4-6, 3.44 ERA) is solid, yet nothing about his stuff screams “stop Alonso at all costs.”
And if you’re looking for a trend, the Phillies are 2-6 against the Mets this season. That’s not a rivalry, that’s a bad habit. Even J.T. Realmuto’s recent hot stretch can’t hide the fact that Philly’s pitching staff has been serving up runs at a buffet pace (5.28 ERA in the last 10 games).
Comedy Corner Matchup
The Phillies can hit, but their pitching has been leaky. The Mets can hit and pitch, and they’re at home. Vegas has the line tilted toward the Mets for good reason, but the funniest part? Philly’s supposed to be the division leader and yet they look like the little brother in this matchup.
Prediction
New York’s hot bats plus McLean’s sharp start to his career should be enough to fend off Harper and the Phillies’ lineup. Expect fireworks, but the Mets hold serve again at Citi Field.
Final Score Prediction: Mets 6, Phillies 4
Bets Bet: NY Mets -1.5 (+139)
Total: Over 9.0 (+101)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
