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Phoenix vs Las Vegas WNBA Props & Picks on Alyssa Thomas

The Phoenix Mercury and the Las Vegas Aces will meet on the field at Michelob ULTRA Arena.

(Photo by Getty Images) Alyssa Thomas
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Phoenix (27-17) at Las Vegas (30-14)

  • When: Oct 3 2025, 8:00 PM
  • Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV, USA
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Moneyline

Phoenix Mercury   +145
Las Vegas Aces   -170

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Point Spread

Phoenix Mercury   3.5 (-110)
Las Vegas Aces   -3.5 (-110)

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Total

Over   161.0 (-105)
Under   161.0 (-115)

Alyssa Thomas WNBA Preview & Props

Alyssa Thomas has been the engine powering the Mercury’s playoff surge, averaging over 20 points across her last five games. Her versatility, court vision, and scoring aggression have made her nearly unguardable in high-pressure moments. As Phoenix gears up for Game 1 of the WNBA Finals, Thomas remains a key factor in the Mercury’s offensive game plan.

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Total Points – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   16.5 (+105)
Under   16.5 (-135)

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Points Milestones – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

To Score 10+ Points   -1300
To Score 15+ Points   -175
To Score 20+ Points   +200
To Score 25+ Points   +700
To Score 30+ Points   +2100

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Top Points Scorer

Alyssa Thomas (PHO)   +750

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Total Rebounds – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   9.5 (EVEN)
Under   9.5 (-130)

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Rebounds Milestones – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

To Record 6+ Rebounds   -900
To Record 8+ Rebounds   -220
To Record 10+ Rebounds   EVEN
To Record 12+ Rebounds   +300
To Record 14+ Rebounds   +900
To Record 16+ Rebounds   +2000

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Assists Milestones – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

To Record 6+ Assists   -1400
To Record 8+ Assists   -250
To Record 10+ Assists   +105
To Record 12+ Assists   +330
To Record 14+ Assists   +900

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Total Points and Assists – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   25.5 (-115)
Under   25.5 (-115)

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Total Rebounds and Assists – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   18.5 (EVEN)
Under   18.5 (-130)

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
Total Points, Rebounds and Assists – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   34.5 (-115)
Under   34.5 (-115)

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
To Record a Double-Double

Alyssa Thomas (PHO)   -220

Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces
To Record a Triple-Double

Alyssa Thomas (PHO)   +300

Alyssa Thomas Statistics

Games 39
Points/Game (PPG) 15.4
Rebounds/Game (RPG) 8.8
Assists/Game (APG) 9.2

Alyssa Thomas Last 10

Date vs Score Min Pts Ast Reb
9/28 MIN 86-81 36:50 23 10 8
9/26 MIN 84-76 36:25 21 8 9
9/23 MIN 89-83 (OT) 42:32 19 13 8
9/21 MIN 69-82 37:20 18 7 8
9/19 NY 79-73 37:14 20 11 11
9/17 NY 86-60 25:51 15 7 6
9/14 NY 69-76 (OT) 40:42 14 8 9
9/11 DAL 76-97 12:37 3 5 2
9/9 LA 83-88 21:52 10 10 11
9/6 CON 84-87 31:45 14 10 8

WNBA Player Props Picks & Predictions

Alyssa Thomas has been a force, averaging 20+ points over her last five outings. Facing a high-paced Aces squad in Game 1 of the WNBA Finals, expect her to stay aggressive offensively. At +105, this line offers solid value.

Alyssa Thomas Props Pick: Total Points – Over 16.5 (+105)
A $100 Bet on that Props will return $205

WNBA Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook

2026 NBA Championship Odds

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