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Lynx vs Mercury Odds, Pick & WNBA Semifinal Preview

Betting preview for Lynx vs Mercury semifinal matchup with odds, prediction, and key insights for WNBA fans.

(Photo by Getty Images) Napheesa Collier
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Phoenix (0-0) at Minnesota (0-0)

  • When: Sep 21 2025, 5:00 PM
  • Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
  • TV: ESPN

WNBA Playoff Clash: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx

Spread: Minnesota -7.0 | Total: 158.0

Phoenix Mercury: Surging at the Right Time

The Mercury are entering this semifinal matchup with confidence after ousting the defending champion New York Liberty in three games. Alyssa Thomas’ triple-double performance in the decisive contest reminded everyone how dangerous Phoenix can be when their veterans take over. Satou Sabally and DeWanna Bonner add the scoring punch, while Nate Tibbetts’ group leans on trust and playoff-tested leadership.

With little rest between series, Phoenix’s depth and experience will be tested in Minneapolis.

Minnesota Lynx: Home Court Fortress

The Lynx may have been pushed to the limit by expansion Golden State, but they remain a powerhouse at Target Center. Minnesota finished 20-2 at home during the regular season, and Napheesa Collier continues to shine as the centerpiece, finishing second in the league in scoring and leading her team into this semifinal showdown.

Add in Alanna Smith’s defensive presence, freshly honored as Co-Defensive Player of the Year, and the Lynx boast the balance to control this matchup.

WNBA Prediction & Betting Angle

Minnesota is favored by 7.0 points, with the total set at 158.0, reflecting expectations of a defensive battle mixed with star power. Phoenix’s momentum is undeniable, but Minnesota’s dominance at home cannot be overlooked. Expect Collier and company to dictate the tempo and edge closer to another Finals run.

Score Prediction: Minnesota 82, Phoenix 74
Best Bet: Minnesota -7.0
Total: 
Under 158.0

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