Phoenix (8-4) at New York (10-1)
- When: Jun 19 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY, USA
- TV: FOX5 New York
WNBA Preview and Prediction: Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty
Spread: New York -10.5 | Total: 162.0
New York Liberty Breakdown
The Liberty took their first stumble of the season in a 102-88 loss to Indiana but bounced back in gritty fashion with an 86-81 comeback win over Atlanta. It was a statement about their resolve, especially on home court, where they remain undefeated at 6-0. Despite being down 17 late in the third quarter, Sabrina Ionescu caught fire, dropping 34 points for the second straight game, propelling New York to a thunderous fourth-quarter rally.
Sandy Brondello’s squad has shown they can adjust mid-game and turn up the intensity when it matters most. Ionescu’s recent shooting surge (59.3% over the last three games) is a clear warning sign to any opponent, especially one coming in on tired legs. The Liberty will look to start faster this time, and covering the 10.5-point spread feels more likely if they avoid another sluggish start.
Phoenix Mercury Breakdown
Phoenix is rolling, picking up its third straight win Wednesday night, this time in Connecticut. The 83-75 victory showed their ability to grind out wins even when the offense isn’t at peak efficiency (just 40.6% from the field). They made up for it at the free-throw line, knocking down 23 of 27 attempts and getting contributions across the board, including Alyssa Thomas’ near triple-double.
The concern? This is the second leg of a back-to-back on a tough road trip, and the Mercury are walking into an arena where no one’s won yet this season. While Phoenix has momentum, fatigue and depth may become issues, especially if New York turns up the pressure early.
Prediction:
This is a tough scheduling spot for Phoenix, and the Liberty are playing with a chip on their shoulder after their first loss. If New York brings even a sliver of the second-half energy they showed against Atlanta, they’ll cover the double-digit spread.
Score Prediction: New York 87, Phoenix 72
Best Bet: New York -10.5
Total: Under 162.0
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
