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Phoenix (15-9) at Washington (12-12)
- When: Jul 27 2025, 6:00 PM
- Where: CareFirst Arena, Washington, DC, USA
- TV: MNMT
WNBA Preview and Prediction: Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics
Spread: Phoenix -7.0 | Total: 164.0
Phoenix Mercury Breakdown
The Phoenix Mercury (15-9) enter this matchup looking to snap a three-game losing streak and get back on track. They let a second-half lead slip away in Friday’s 89-76 loss to the New York Liberty but still hold the WNBA’s third-best record.
Alyssa Thomas was a bright spot in that defeat, nearly securing a triple-double with 20 points, 13 rebounds, and eight assists. Despite the skid, Thomas emphasized the team’s focus on moving forward. The Mercury’s road form has been inconsistent (6-5), but their offensive firepower remains intact.
The biggest boost comes from the return of Satou Sabally, who’s averaging 18.1 points per game despite missing time with an ankle injury. Alongside Thomas (15.1 PPG) and Kaleah Copper (15.5 PPG), Phoenix has a core capable of exploiting mismatches. If they find rhythm early, expect them to control the pace.
Washington Mystics Breakdown
The Mystics (12-12) are clinging to the seventh seed in the standings and are fresh off a confidence-building 69-58 win over Seattle. Shakira Austin led the way with 14 points and 11 rebounds, marking her third straight game in double figures. Washington now has an 8-4 home record and has won seven of its last 11 games.
Brittney Sykes remains the team’s top scorer at 17.1 points per game, while rookie Sonia Citron adds perimeter shooting and floor spacing with 36 made 3-pointers at a 36.4% clip. Washington’s defense has been strong at home, but they’ll need offensive consistency to keep up with Phoenix’s balanced attack.
The Mystics will also be motivated to avenge their 68-62 loss to Phoenix earlier this season. Coach Sydney Johnson has emphasized steady improvement over playoff hype, but a win here would solidify their postseason push.
WNBA Game Prediction
Phoenix’s returning firepower and overall scoring balance give them an edge, but Washington’s home-court success can’t be ignored. Expect a competitive game with Phoenix’s experience ultimately making the difference.
Score Prediction: Phoenix 83, Washington 78
Best Bet: Washington +7.0
Total: Under 164.0
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
