- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Pittsburgh (51-69) at Milwaukee (74-44)
- When: Aug 12 2025, 7:40 PM
- Where: American Family Field, Milwaukee
- Where to watch: SportsNet PT
Padres vs Giants – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Milwaukee -116
Total: 6.5
RunLine: Milwaukee -1.5 (+180)
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Outlook
The Pirates are turning to MLB’s ERA leader Paul Skenes (7-8, 1.94) in an effort to halt Milwaukee’s red-hot run. Skenes is coming off a sharp six-inning, scoreless performance against Cincinnati, showcasing his ability to shut down opponents even when traffic is on the bases. Against Milwaukee, he’s had mixed results, a 2.65 career ERA in three starts but 0-1 in two outings this year, surrendering five runs in 10 innings.
The challenge is clear: Pittsburgh is just 17-40 away from home and has won only 24 games when their starter fails to complete six innings. Skenes will need to go deep, especially with Milwaukee’s lineup clicking. If he can keep the Brewers from squaring him up early, the Pirates might grind this into a low-scoring battle.
Player Prop – Paul Skenes: Over 6.5 strikeouts – Milwaukee’s bats have been aggressive but whiff-prone, and Skenes has the stuff to rack up Ks in bunches.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Outlook
Milwaukee (74-44) enters riding a 10-game winning streak and owning the best record in baseball. Monday’s 7-1 victory was another example of why they’re dominating timely power from Brice Turang and Christian Yelich, efficient baserunning, and relentless pressure with runners in scoring position. Rookie Isaac Collins has been on a tear, hitting .444 over his last nine games with six multi-hit performances.
Freddy Peralta (13-5, 3.03) has been the definition of steady, going 8-1 over his last 10 starts. He’s handled Pittsburgh well historically (3.58 ERA in 15 starts) and has already notched a win against them this season. His ability to limit big innings while working ahead in counts should be the key to keeping this streak alive.
Player Prop – Freddy Peralta: Under 2.5 earned runs – Peralta’s recent form and command should help him neutralize Pittsburgh’s inconsistent offense.
Prediction & Betting Angle
This shapes up as a pitcher’s duel between two of the NL’s best arms, but Milwaukee’s depth, momentum, and home-field advantage give them the edge in the late innings.
Final Score Prediction: Brewers 3, Pirates 2
Lean: Milwaukee (-116)
Total: Under 6.5 (+102)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
