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Vegas Says Pistons vs Spurs, We Say Not So Fast

Detroit favored by 1 vs Spurs in high-total showdown.

(Photo by Getty Images) Jalen Duren
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San Antonio (40-16) at Detroit (42-13)

  • When: Feb 23 2026, 7:00 PM
  • Where: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI, USA
  • TV: FDSDET

San Antonio vs Detroit Preview & Prediction

Spread: Detroit -1.0
Moneyline: Detroit (-115)
Total: 232.5

Alright folks, Detroit is favored by one whole point. One. Vegas basically flipped a coin, shrugged, and said “eh, give it to the home team.” Cute. Let’s dig in.

Detroit Pistons – Eastern Conference Royalty (Apparently)

The Pistons are strutting around like they run the East. Five straight wins. Eight of their last nine. Fresh off a 15-point road win over the Knicks and a 126-110 beatdown in Chicago. Momentum? Sure. Confidence? Absolutely. Parade scheduled? Slow down.

Jalen Duren came back from suspension and immediately went Hulk mode with 26 points and 13 rebounds. Six offensive boards. The man was vacuuming misses like he gets paid per rebound. J.B. Bickerstaff called him a dominant force. Fair. When Duren controls the paint, Detroit’s offense opens up and their third-quarter avalanche begins. Just ask Chicago about that 44-point explosion.

Duncan Robinson talked about “playing to standards.” That’s coach-speak for “we weren’t locked in early but then we remembered we’re good.” Detroit is dangerous when they crank up the defense and get downhill. The question is not whether they can win. It’s whether they can keep up with a Spurs team that refuses to cooperate with the script.

San Antonio Spurs – Quietly Cooking in the West

Meanwhile, San Antonio strolls in with an eight-game winning streak. Not a typo. Eight. They smoked Phoenix by 27, then dropped 139 on Sacramento. That’s not just winning. That’s scoring like you forgot defense is legal.

Coach Mitch Johnson says it’s a tough stretch with a road trip and top Eastern teams. Translation: “We’re not scared.” The Spurs have the second-best record in the West behind Oklahoma City. Remember when they were rebuilding? Yeah, that’s over.

This is a team that pushes pace, shares the ball, and doesn’t panic in tight spots. They’ve climbed the standings by staying consistent. Not flashy. Just efficient and ruthless.

Betting Angle and Prediction

The total is 232.5, which screams track meet. Detroit can score. San Antonio can score more. Both teams are in rhythm offensively, and neither is allergic to tempo. I lean over here because neither side wants to grind.

As for the side? Detroit being favored feels like a home-court tax. San Antonio is hotter, more balanced right now, and thriving in pressure spots. If this turns into a fourth-quarter execution contest, I trust the Spurs’ current form.

Final Score: Spurs 121, Pistons 116
Lean: San Antonio ML (-105)
Total: 
Over 232.5 

2026 NBA Championship Odds

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