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Spurs at Warriors Expert Betting Breakdown and Picks

San Antonio vs Golden State betting preview and best pick.

(Photo by Getty Images) Victor Wembanyama
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San Antonio (37-16) at Golden State (29-25)

  • When: Feb 11 2026, 10:00 PM
  • Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
  • TV: FDSSW

San Antonio vs Golden State Preview & Prediction

Spread: San Antonio -8.0
Moneyline: San Antonio (-240)
Total: 220.5

The Spurs roll into San Francisco riding momentum and flexing their depth, while Golden State tries to steal one at home despite missing star power. Here is how the matchup shapes up from a betting perspective.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

San Antonio is playing like a team that believes it belongs near the top of the Western Conference. They dismantled the Lakers in their last outing, and Victor Wembanyama looked every bit like a franchise cornerstone. He dropped 40 points in limited minutes and barely broke a sweat in the second half.

The bigger takeaway for bettors is efficiency. No Spur logged heavy minutes, meaning this group should not suffer from fatigue in this spot. Five straight wins show consistency, and their defensive length continues to cause matchup problems.

Historically, Wembanyama has struggled against Golden State, but this is not the same Warriors roster. Without Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler available, Golden State lacks the explosive scoring that previously gave San Antonio issues.

San Antonio’s size advantage inside should show up over 48 minutes. If they control the paint and limit turnovers, they can dictate tempo.

Best Bet Lean: San Antonio -8.0
Total Lean: Under 220.5. The Warriors are short on scoring options, and the Spurs do not need to push pace if they grab an early lead.

Spurs Player Prop Pick: Victor Wembanyama Over 23.5 Points
Golden State does not have the rim protection to contain him. Expect another assertive offensive night.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

Golden State barely survived Memphis in their last game and needed late hustle plays to escape. That kind of narrow win can go two ways. It either builds confidence or exposes cracks.

Without Curry and Butler, the Warriors are forced to grind. Al Horford’s veteran presence was huge in the last win, but relying on second chance scrambles is not a long term recipe for success. This team has struggled over its last stretch and now faces a red hot opponent.

The key for Golden State is slowing the game down and hitting perimeter shots early. If they let San Antonio’s athleticism take over, this one could get out of reach by the third quarter.

They are at home, which gives them a puncher’s chance, but offensively they are limited.

Warriors Player Prop Pick: Al Horford Over 8.5 Rebounds
He has been active on the glass, and with limited scoring threats around him, rebounding opportunities should be there.

Final Prediction

San Antonio has the superior roster right now and the healthier lineup. Golden State is scrappy, but over four quarters the Spurs’ size and shot creation should separate them.

Final Score: Spurs 112, Warriors 101
Lean: San Antonio -8.0
Total: 
Under 220.5 

Lay the points with San Antonio and lean toward the Under.

2026 NBA Championship Odds

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