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San Francisco vs Arizona MLB Props & Picks on Merrill Kelly

The San Francisco Giants and the Arizona Diamondbacks will meet on the field at Chase Field.

(Photo by Getty Images) Merrill Kelly

San Francisco (45-41) at Arizona (43-42)

  • When: Jul 2 2025, 9:40 PM
  • Where: Chase Field, Phoenix
  • Where to watch: ARID

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Moneyline

San Francisco Giants   +122
Arizona Diamondbacks   -145

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Runline

San Francisco Giants   1.5 (-170)
Arizona Diamondbacks   -1.5 (+145)

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Total

Over   8.5 (-110)
Under   8.5 (-110)

Merrill Kelly MLB Preview & Props

Merrill Kelly’s campaign has been an up-and-down grind built for gamblers. He’s had his moments of brilliance, sure, but hitters haven’t exactly been lost at the plate. His control is sharp, but contact has been steady. For bettors, he’s the type of pitcher you circle, watch closely, and look for the right matchup to pounce on. High floor, moderate volatility, Kelly’s been a fascinating risk-reward case all season long.

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Total Strikeouts – Merrill Kelly (ARI)

Over   5.5 (-150)
Under   5.5 (+115)

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Alternate Strikeouts – Merrill Kelly (ARI)

3+ Strikeouts   -1100
4+ Strikeouts   -350
7+ Strikeouts   +280
8+ Strikeouts   +550
9+ Strikeouts   +1100

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Total Hits Allowed – Merrill Kelly (ARI)

Over   5.5 (EVEN)
Under   5.5 (-140)

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Total Earned Runs – Merrill Kelly (ARI)

Over   2.5 (+125)
Under   2.5 (-165)

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Total Pitcher Walks – Merrill Kelly (ARI)

Over   1.5 (-110)
Under   1.5 (-130)

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Total Pitcher Outs – Merrill Kelly (ARI)

Over   17.5 (-140)
Under   17.5 (EVEN)

Merrill Kelly Statistics

WL ERA IP K BB OBP
7-4 3.49 98.0 100 26 .268

Merrill Kelly Last 10

Date vs Res Score IP H R ER K BB HR P
6/27 MIA L 8-9 5.0 6 5 3 7 1 1 88
6/21 COL W 5-3 6.0 6 3 2 7 3 1 94
6/15 SD L 2-8 5.0 7 4 4 7 1 1 93
6/9 SEA ND 8-4 6.0 4 0 0 7 2 0 92
6/4 ATL W 2-1 7.0 1 0 0 8 1 0 98
5/30 WAS ND 7-9 5.0 6 6 4 6 2 2 95
5/24 STL ND 5-6 6.0 6 4 4 6 1 0 100
5/18 COL W 1-0 7.0 1 0 0 11 3 0 109
5/12 SF W 2-1 7.0 8 1 1 8 0 0 103
5/7 NYM L 1-7 6.1 6 3 3 6 0 1 98

MLB Player Props Picks & Predictions

Merrill Kelly has allowed more than five hits in half of his last 12 outings, struggling with command and yielding hard contact early. Matchup vs Giants’ hot offense makes the over 5.5 hits pick appealing.

Merrill Kelly Props Pick: Total Hits Allowed – Over 5.5 (EVEN)
A $100 Bet on that Props will return $200

MLB Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook

2026 NBA Championship Odds

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