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Mariners vs Rays Betting Odds, Preview & Prediction

Mariners and Rays clash in key AL wild-card race. Betting odds, preview, and prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Drew Rasmussen
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Seattle (73-65) at Tampa Bay (68-69)

  • When: Sep 2 2025, 7:35 PM
  • Where: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa
  • Where to watch: FDSSUN

Mariners vs. Rays – Game Betting Preview & Prediction

Moneyline: Seattle -114 
Spread: Seattle -1.5 (+145)
Total: 7.5

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Outlook

The Rays opened this homestand with authority, hammering Seattle 10-2 behind Shane Baz and a relentless 13-hit effort. That win tightened the wild-card race, trimming the gap to 4.5 games behind the Mariners with two other teams in between.

Tampa Bay turns to Drew Rasmussen (10-5, 2.64 ERA), who has been rock solid all season and particularly sharp in August, where he posted a 1.53 ERA with just three walks in nearly 30 innings. Rasmussen also has dominated his hometown Mariners, holding a 0.44 ERA across five career outings. He blanked Seattle for six frames earlier this month before taking a no-decision.

Offensively, Tampa Bay showed the kind of lineup depth that can break games open. However, they’ve also dealt with roster turnover after losing Ha-Seong Kim on waivers, shifting focus toward younger players like Carson Williams down the stretch. Bettors should expect a competitive Rays lineup built around contact and opportunistic hitting.

Seattle Mariners Betting Outlook

Seattle comes in as the narrow favorite at -114 on the moneyline, despite Monday’s lopsided loss. The Mariners still hold a better overall record, and their postseason push leans heavily on the consistency of Bryan Woo (12-7, 2.95 ERA).

Woo has been a workhorse all season, throwing at least six innings in 25 of his 27 starts. His August was elite, going 4-1 with a 2.27 ERA while piling up 39 strikeouts and keeping baserunners to a minimum with a 0.88 WHIP. He already has one win over Tampa Bay this season and owns a 1-0 mark with a 4.00 ERA in two career meetings.

Seattle’s offense is built around power threats who can shift momentum in a hurry, but their inconsistency at the plate has left the door open in the standings. With Woo on the hill, though, the Mariners remain a tough fade.

Prediction and Betting Angle

This game sets up as one of the better pitching duels of the week, with two right-handers carrying sub-3.00 ERAs. Rasmussen’s dominance against his hometown team gives Tampa Bay confidence, but Woo’s steady season makes Seattle the more trustworthy side with playoff urgency on their shoulders.

Score Prediction: Mariners 4, Rays 3
Pick: Seattle (-114)
Total: Under 7.5 (-102) 

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