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Mariners vs Blue Jays ALCS Game 6 Prediction & Odds

Seattle eyes first World Series berth as Toronto fights to force Game 7 at home

(Photo by Getty Images) Trey Yesavage
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Seattle (3-2) at Toronto (2-3)

  • When: Oct 19 2025, 8:03 PM
  • Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto
  • Where to watch: Fox Sports 1

Seattle vs Toronto MLB Playoff Preview & Pick

Moneyline: Toronto -132 
Spread: Toronto -1.5 (+160)
Total: 8.0

Seattle Mariners: Riding the Wave of Destiny

The Mariners are one win away from finally ending decades of frustration and punching their first-ever ticket to the World Series. Seattle’s dramatic Game 5 comeback, capped off by Cal Raleigh’s solo shot and Eugenio Suarez’s grand slam has them one victory from rewriting franchise history.

Manager Dan Wilson has kept his group locked in and grounded despite the chaos of Friday’s eighth-inning eruption. His message is simple: focus on one game, not the moment. If Seattle keeps its nerves steady, they could finish what no Mariners team has before.

Logan Gilbert (1-0, 2.45 ERA) gets the ball for this monumental Game 6. While he’s struggled historically against Toronto (0-2, 5.24 ERA), Gilbert’s postseason composure has been a different story. His command and confidence have been sharp, and his recent form suggests he’s more than capable of sealing the deal.

Gilbert said it best himself: “You grow up dreaming of moments like this.” Now, the kid from Florida gets his shot to deliver the most important win in Mariners history.

Prediction for Seattle: If they stay patient at the plate and keep their bullpen steady, they’ve got a legitimate shot at closing this out.

Toronto Blue Jays: Desperate to Stay Alive at Home

The Blue Jays have their backs against the wall and their season on the line. Toronto hasn’t been swept at home all postseason, but this one’s about more than pride, it’s survival.

Manager John Schneider faces mounting pressure after his bullpen imploded in Game 5, blowing a 2-1 lead with questionable relief choices in the eighth. Fans and media haven’t let him forget it, but he’s doubling down: “I trust my players. I stick by my players.”

Rookie right-hander Trey Yesavage (1-1, 4.82 ERA) gets another crack at Seattle after a rough Game 2 outing. The kid has the talent, just ask the Yankees, whom he carved up for 11 strikeouts earlier in the postseason — but his inexperience was exposed last time around. Toronto will need his best stuff if they want to force Game 7.

There’s also concern around veteran outfielder George Springer, who exited Game 5 after taking a pitch to the knee. The X-rays came back clean, and the Jays are “hopeful and optimistic” he’ll be ready, but losing him would be a massive blow to their lineup.

Prediction for Toronto: With their season on the line and the Rogers Centre rocking, expect an aggressive approach early, but if the bullpen cracks again, this could end badly.

Final Prediction

Seattle’s momentum feels unstoppable, but Toronto is too talented to go quietly. This one could come down to the wire, with both teams trading punches late. Still, the Mariners look hungrier and more composed under pressure.

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4
Pick: Seattle (+110)
Total: Over 8.0 (+100) 

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