Tampa Bay (38-32) at NY Mets (45-26)
- When: Jun 15 2025, 1:40 PM
- Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
- Where to watch: WPIX
Rays vs. Mets – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: NY Mets -164 | Total: 8.0
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Rays are on the verge of pulling off an impressive road sweep at Citi Field, fueled by a blend of explosive offense and key contributions from some familiar faces. Tampa Bay has taken the first two games of the series by scores of 7-5 and 8-4, thanks to strong performances from former Mets players. Jake Mangum has tallied three hits in the series, while ex-Mets pitchers Eric Orze and Edwin Uceta delivered in the clutch to secure Friday’s win.
Manager Kevin Cash’s squad has now recorded 25 hits across the first two games and continues to ride a red-hot stretch, going 17-6 in their last 23 contests. The offense was especially lethal during Saturday’s five-run fourth inning, a burst that broke the game wide open. The Rays will hand the ball to Shane Baz, who enters with a 5-3 record and a 4.97 ERA. While Baz has been inconsistent, he’s supported by a lineup that’s capitalizing on nearly every scoring opportunity lately. Tampa Bay may be the underdog in this one, but given their current form and momentum, they offer value as a live dog to complete the sweep.
New York Mets Preview
Despite dropping the first two games of the series, the Mets remain moneyline favorites at -164 with the total set at 8.0. New York has put together one of the National League’s best records this year, largely behind consistent production from its star players and surprisingly strong starting pitching. However, things have looked shaky this weekend, and the Mets now find themselves trying to avoid just their second series loss in 13 home sets at Citi Field.
Right-hander Griffin Canning will get the start, carrying a 6-2 record and a 3.22 ERA. His last outing saw him give up four earned runs over 5.1 innings against Washington. Historically, he hasn’t fared well against Tampa Bay, with a 1-2 record and a 4.01 ERA across five appearances. The Mets are dealing with a temporary setback on the injury front as well, as Kodai Senga is expected to miss time with a minor hamstring strain.
Prediction & Pick
Given Tampa Bay’s offensive momentum and ability to produce in big innings, they’re in a strong position to finish the sweep, even as road underdogs. Baz doesn’t need to be perfect, just good enough to let the bats go to work. Canning’s past struggles against the Rays and the Mets’ shaky form tilt the edge to the visitors.
Score Prediction: Rays 6, Mets 4
Pick: Tampa Bay ML (+139)
Total: Over 8.0 (-109)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!