Tampa Bay (25-16-3) at Toronto (29-16-2)
- When: Jan 20 2025, 7:30 PM
- Where: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON, CAN
- TV: FDSSUN
Game Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs return home riding high after a stunning comeback win over the Montreal Canadiens. They’ll look to keep their momentum alive on Monday night against the Tampa Bay Lightning, who are also coming off a dominant victory. With the Leafs as slight -135 moneyline favorites and the total set at 6.5, this matchup presents intriguing betting angles.
Toronto Maple Leafs Outlook
Toronto’s offense erupted in a thrilling 7-3 win over Montreal on Saturday. The Leafs trailed 3-0 after the first period but came alive with seven unanswered goals, including five in the third period. Oliver Ekman-Larsson led the charge with a goal and two assists, while Auston Matthews added his first career short-handed goal.
The Leafs have now won two straight after a three-game skid and will aim to capitalize on their scoring surge against Tampa Bay. Toronto’s ability to rally from deficits shows their resilience and makes them a strong play at home, where they’ve traditionally been tough to beat.
Coach Craig Berube praised his team’s effort, especially the goaltending from Joseph Woll, who made 32 saves in the win. Woll could get the nod again, which bodes well for the Leafs’ chances of shutting down Tampa Bay’s potent attack.
Tampa Bay Lightning Outlook
The Lightning head into Toronto after a convincing 5-1 home win over Detroit. Nikita Kucherov continues to be the engine for Tampa Bay, recording a goal and two assists to extend his points streak to eight games. Kucherov has been on fire with four goals and 10 assists during that stretch and will be the player to watch as Tampa Bay opens a four-game road trip.
The Bolts were efficient on the power play against Detroit, converting two of three opportunities. Darren Raddysh, who contributed a goal and an assist on the man advantage, emphasized the team’s confidence in their special teams, a factor that could be key in this matchup.
However, Tampa Bay has struggled against Toronto this season, losing both prior meetings by multiple goals. With a road record that’s been inconsistent, the Lightning will need to bring their best to upset a hot Maple Leafs squad.
Key Betting Trends
Head-to-Head:
Toronto has won both meetings against Tampa Bay this season, outscoring them 10-5.
The Maple Leafs are 4-1 in their last five home games against the Lightning.
Totals:
The total has gone over in four of the last six meetings between these teams.
Both teams are coming off games where their offenses flourished, making the over an appealing option.
Momentum:
Toronto’s comeback against Montreal highlighted their offensive depth and no-quit mentality.
Tampa Bay has won three of their last four but struggled to contain Toronto in earlier matchups.
Predictions
Moneyline Pick: Toronto -135
The Leafs are riding a wave of momentum after their massive comeback win, and with home-ice advantage, they’re in a great spot to extend their winning streak. Tampa Bay’s struggles against Toronto this season and their road inconsistencies make the Leafs the safer pick.
Total Pick: Over 6.5
Both teams are loaded with offensive firepower, and their recent games have been high-scoring affairs. With players like Kucherov and Matthews leading the charge, expect plenty of pucks to find the back of the net.
Player Prop to Watch:
Nikita Kucherov Over 1.5 Points
Kucherov has been on a tear and will be heavily involved in Tampa Bay’s offense, especially on the power play.
Final Score Prediction
The Maple Leafs’ balanced attack and ability to rally in tough situations should propel them to another win over the Lightning. Look for a high-scoring game with Toronto securing the victory late.
- NHL Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
