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Texas (47-48) at Houston (55-39)
- When: Jul 12 2025, 7:35 PM
- Where: Daikin Park, Houston
- Where to watch: FOX
Rangers vs Astros – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Houston -125
Total: 6.5
RunLine: Houston -1.5 (+175)
Houston Astros Outlook
Despite a pile of injuries to key starters, the Houston Astros are still clinging to the top spot in the AL West. With Hayden Wesneski, Ronel Blanco, and Spencer Arrighetti all sidelined, they’ve leaned heavily on their bullpen and a rotating cast of arms. But if they want to stay in front down the stretch, they need Lance McCullers Jr. to find some rhythm and fast.
McCullers has been a mixed bag in his comeback. After giving up just one run in six strong innings against the Dodgers, he followed it up with a dud: three shaky innings in a loss to Texas on Friday. His season has been volatile, and Houston’s recent four-game skid highlights just how much they need stability.
The Astros turn to their ace Framber Valdez for Saturday’s tilt. Valdez is locked in, going 9-0 with a 2.07 ERA over his last 11 starts. His career record against Texas (9-5, 2.90 ERA) suggests he’s capable of holding down a Rangers team that’s been heating up. Valdez will be aiming to keep Houston’s slim division lead intact before the break.
Top Astros Prop Picks:
Framber Valdez Over 6.5 Strikeouts – He’s hit this in four of his last five and is dominating in long outings.
Yainer Diaz Total Bases Over 1.5 – The righty bat has been reliable and should have good swings vs deGrom’s heat.
Texas Rangers Breakdown
The Rangers are finally starting to look like the AL contenders many expected. Their bats are catching fire at the right time, 37 runs in their last four-game set, including a 13-hit performance Friday. After a sluggish spring, this offense is finally living up to its billing.
On the mound, Jacob deGrom takes the ball for Texas. While his last outing broke a 14-game streak of two runs or fewer, he’s still been rock solid. He blanked Houston earlier this season across eight innings and looks to recapture that form in his second matchup against the Astros.
The Rangers’ bats are deep, and their recent success at the plate makes them dangerous, especially if they can crack Valdez early.
Top Rangers Prop Picks:
Corey Seager to Record a Hit – Seager’s been consistent, and he’s capable of spoiling Valdez’s rhythm.
Marcus Semien Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 – He’s been the sparkplug in recent games and could cash this if Texas breaks through early.
Game Prediction & Betting Lean
Houston bounces back behind Valdez with a 3-2 win in a tight, low-scoring battle. Texas keeps it close but falls short late.
Final Score Prediction: Astros 3, Rangers 2
Lean: Houston (-125)
Total: Under 6.5 (-101)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
