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Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Preview, Odds and Prediction

Expert betting preview of Red Sox vs Yankees with odds, analysis, and final score prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Garrett Crochet
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Boston (70-59) at NY Yankees (69-59)

  • When: Aug 23 2025, 1:05 PM
  • Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx
  • Where to watch: YES

Red Sox vs. Yankees – Game Betting Preview & Prediction

Moneyline: Boston -128 
Spread: Boston -1.5 (+136)
Total: 8.0

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Red Sox roll into Saturday as -128 moneyline favorites, looking to keep their stranglehold over the Yankees in the wild-card race. Boston has taken seven straight from New York, including back-to-back wins to open this four-game set. Friday’s 1-0 thriller was their first such road shutout over the Yankees since 1994, powered by seven strong innings from Brayan Bello and a timely RBI double from Connor Wong.

Alex Bregman has been scorching at the plate, batting .356 over his last 24 games, though Boston continues to struggle with runners in scoring position (just 4-for-30 this series). Still, their pitching staff and timely hitting have carried them to a half-game lead over New York for the top wild card.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The Yankees are desperate to flip the narrative. Since their lone win over Boston on June 6, New York has dropped seven straight head-to-head matchups, being outscored 36-21 in the process. Friday’s loss was particularly frustrating as they managed only three singles and didn’t record a single at-bat with a runner in scoring position.

Will Warren (7-5, 4.25 ERA) will try to steady things on the mound. The rookie has been effective lately, allowing two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. His lone outing against Boston this year came in June, where he earned a win despite shaky command, walking four.

Pitching Matchup

Boston counters with Garrett Crochet (13-5, 2.43 ERA), who has been brilliant most of the season, winning nine of his last 11 decisions. He’s already handled the Yankees once this year, striking out Aaron Judge three times in a dominant June outing.

MLB Betting Outlook & Prediction

Boston has completely owned this rivalry this season, and with Crochet on the mound, it’s hard to see that streak snapping. The Yankees’ bats remain unreliable, especially against elite pitching.

Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Yankees 2
Pick: Boston (-128)
Total: Under 8.0 (-112) 

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