Boston (1-2) at Texas (2-1)
- When: Mar 30 2025, 2:35 PM
- Where: Globe Life Field, Arlington
- Where to watch: NESN
MLB Betting Preview: Red Sox vs Rangers – Game 4
Moneyline: Texas -188 | Total: 8.0
The Texas Rangers are favored at -188 on the moneyline with the total set at 8.0 runs as they close out a four-game series against the Boston Red Sox on Sunday afternoon. This one features plenty of intrigue, including the highly anticipated return of ace Jacob deGrom to the mound for Texas.
Texas Rangers Outlook & Betting Angle
Jacob deGrom, fresh off a long road back from Tommy John surgery, will get the ball for the Rangers. Though he made only three starts last September, deGrom was lights out, recording a 1.69 ERA with 14 strikeouts across just 10 2/3 innings. The Rangers are banking on a full season from their high-priced ace, and his return should energize a team looking to make another deep run. Despite being 0-2 in four career starts against Boston, deGrom owns a strong 2.88 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 25 innings against the Sox.
Texas has already taken two of the first three games in this series. Adolis Garcia provided the spark on Saturday with a home run and three RBIs, following up Friday’s effort where Jonah Heim went deep twice. The Rangers’ lineup is showing early-season balance and power, and they’ve now won three of their first four contests.
The injury to third baseman Josh Smith (quad contusion) could impact the defense slightly, but offensively the Rangers are still stacked and capable of putting up runs.
Boston Red Sox Preview & Betting Insight
Boston counters with right-hander Richard Fitts, who enters the 2025 campaign with limited MLB experience. He impressed in four starts last season, posting a 1.74 ERA over 20 2/3 innings, though command was a concern with seven walks. Sunday marks Fitts’ first-ever appearance against Texas, and he’ll be tested immediately by a potent Rangers lineup.
At the plate, Boston is still trying to find its rhythm. Superstar Rafael Devers has struggled mightily, going 0-for-12 with 10 strikeouts across the first three games—an MLB record. He’ll remain in the DH slot as Alex Bregman handles third base. Rookie Kristian Campbell has been a bright spot, hitting his first MLB homer on Saturday and tallying five hits in his first three games. But overall, the Red Sox were just 1-for-12 with runners in scoring position last game—a glaring weakness they’ll need to correct to avoid dropping the series.
Best Bets & Prediction
The pitching edge here heavily favors Texas. DeGrom’s elite strikeout potential and ability to miss bats should neutralize a struggling Boston offense that has whiffed far too often early in the season. Meanwhile, the Rangers are rolling at the plate and should have enough firepower to back their ace.
Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Red Sox 2
Best Bets:
Texas Rangers -1.5 (+115) – Back deGrom to lead the Rangers to a convincing win.
Under 8.0 (-105) – Expect a quality start from deGrom and limited run support from a slumping Boston lineup.
Jacob deGrom Over 6.5 Strikeouts – If he’s fully unleashed, this line could be low. Consider the over for strikeouts against a whiff-heavy Red Sox lineup.
- MLB Odds source: MYBookie Sportsbook
