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Royals vs Tigers Odds, Lines and Expert Betting Prediction

Royals favored vs Tigers. Expert analysis, odds breakdown, and betting prediction for Friday’s AL Central clash.

(Photo by Getty Images) Seth Lugo
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Detroit (78-57) at Kansas City (69-65)

  • When: Aug 29 2025, 8:10 PM
  • Where: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
  • Where to watch: FDSKC

Tigers vs Royals – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props

Moneyline: Kansas City -120
Total: 9.0
RunLine: Kansas City -1.5 (+169)

Detroit Tigers Betting Outlook

The Tigers still hold a sizeable 8.5-game cushion over Kansas City in the AL Central, but they sure don’t look comfortable. Detroit rolls into this matchup riding a four-game losing skid, fresh off being swept in Oakland where they were outscored 22-9. Their bats went ice cold (3-for-26 RISP), and sloppy defense (six errors) didn’t help.

Chris Paddack (5-11, 4.98 ERA) gets the nod for Detroit. He was lit up by Minnesota on Aug. 17 but bounced back with five strong innings against these same Royals last weekend. Still, inconsistency remains a red flag. If Detroit wants to avoid another slide, they’ll need their lineup to rediscover its punch.

Player Prop Pick – Spencer Torkelson: Over 1.5 total bases. He’s crushed KC pitching this season, hitting .297 with four homers and 12 RBIs in 10 games.

Kansas City Royals Betting Outlook

While Detroit has the division lead, Kansas City is the team trending in the right direction. Winners of 11 of their last 16, the Royals are pushing hard for a wild-card berth. Bobby Witt Jr. is sizzling at the plate, riding a 16-game hit streak while batting .397 with nine RBIs in that span. Add in Vinnie Pasquantino’s clutch work against Detroit, and KC’s bats are looking lethal.

The Royals turn to Seth Lugo (8-6, 3.99 ERA), who’s had a nightmare stretch with a 10.13 ERA in his last four outings. Detroit tagged him for six runs last Sunday, but the Royals’ lineup has carried them despite shaky pitching.

Player Prop Pick – Bobby Witt Jr.: To record 2+ hits. With a 16-game hitting streak and near-.400 average, he’s as locked-in as they come.

MLB Prediction & Betting Angle

The Royals are slight favorites at -120 on the moneyline, with the total set at 9.0. Detroit’s recent struggles and Kansas City’s hot bats tilt the edge toward the Royals.

Final Score Prediction: Royals 6, Tigers 4
Lean: Kansas City (-120)
Total: 
Over 9.0 (-109) 

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