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Phoenix vs Minnesota WNBA Props & Picks on Alyssa Thomas

The Phoenix Mercury and the Minnesota Lynx will meet on the field at Target Center.

(Photo by Getty Images) Alyssa Thomas
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Phoenix (15-6) at Minnesota (19-4)

  • When: Jul 16 2025, 1:00 PM
  • Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
  • TV: FDSN

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
Moneyline

Phoenix Mercury   +400
Minnesota Lynx   -575

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
Point Spread

Phoenix Mercury   10.5 (-115)
Minnesota Lynx   -10.5 (-105)

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
Total

Over   157.0 (-110)
Under   157.0 (-110)

Alyssa Thomas WNBA Preview & Props

Alyssa Thomas has been a stat-sheet stuffer this season, controlling the pace and creating plays like a true floor general. Her vision, strength, and relentless hustle make her one of the most impactful players in the WNBA. Whether it’s pushing in transition or setting up teammates in the halfcourt, Thomas continues to be the engine powering Phoenix.

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
Total Points – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   15.5 (+105)
Under   15.5 (-135)

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
Points Milestones – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

To Score 10+ Points   -610
To Score 15+ Points   -130
To Score 20+ Points   +265
To Score 25+ Points   +800
To Score 30+ Points   +2200

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
Total Rebounds – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   8.5 (+120)
Under   8.5 (-160)

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
Rebounds Milestones – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

To Record 6+ Rebounds   -500
To Record 8+ Rebounds   -130
To Record 10+ Rebounds   +160
To Record 12+ Rebounds   +460
To Record 14+ Rebounds   +1200

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
Total Assists – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

Over   8.5 (+105)
Under   8.5 (-135)

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
Assists Milestones – Alyssa Thomas (PHO)

To Record 6+ Assists   -670
To Record 8+ Assists   -170
To Record 10+ Assists   +155
To Record 12+ Assists   +460
To Record 14+ Assists   +1200

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
To Record a Double-Double

Alyssa Thomas (PHO)   -125

Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
To Record a Triple-Double

Alyssa Thomas (PHO)   +500

Alyssa Thomas Statistics

Games 16
Points/Game (PPG) 15.4
Rebounds/Game (RPG) 7.4
Assists/Game (APG) 9.6

Alyssa Thomas Last 10

Date vs Score Min Pts Ast Reb
7/14 GS 78-77 35:29 17 11 6
7/9 MIN 79-71 33:54 29 5 8
7/7 DAL 102-72 29:20 15 15 10
7/3 DAL 89-98 33:34 9 10 7
6/29 LV 81-84 33:19 16 8 7
6/27 NY 106-91 31:18 17 15 9
6/21 CHI 107-86 21:10 11 8 3
6/19 NY 89-81 27:24 18 7 15
6/18 CON 83-75 30:41 14 11 8
6/15 LV 76-70 29:21 14 13 6

WNBA Player Props Picks & Predictions

Alyssa Thomas is the WNBA’s top playmaker, averaging nearly 10 assists in July. She dropped 16 dimes against Minnesota earlier this season and consistently facilitates Connecticut’s offense. At +105, Over 8.5 assists offers strong value given her current form

Alyssa Thomas Props Pick: Total Assists – Over 8.5 (+105)
A $100 Bet on that Props will return $205

WNBA Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook

2026 NBA Championship Odds

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