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Phoenix (16-9) at Indiana (14-12)
- When: Jul 30 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN, USA
- TV: AZFamily
WNBA Preview and Prediction: Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever
Spread: Phoenix -3.5 | Total: 166.0
Indiana Fever Breakdown
The Fever (14-12) are quietly stringing together wins despite missing superstar Caitlin Clark, who’s out with a groin injury for the 13th consecutive game. Indiana looked lost early in this stretch, dropping two blowouts against New York, but they’ve bounced back impressively with back-to-back wins over Las Vegas and Chicago.
Kelsey Mitchell has been unstoppable, torching opponents with 28.3 points per game over her last three outings, including a 35-point eruption in Chicago. Sitting sixth in the WNBA standings, the Fever are starting to look like a team that can still cover and contend, even without their franchise player.
Phoenix Mercury Breakdown
The Mercury (16-9) appear to have snapped their funk after a rough three-game skid, with an 88-72 win at Washington showcasing their veteran toughness. Alyssa Thomas, the heartbeat of Phoenix, dropped 27 points with 11 boards and 8 assists in that victory and has racked up 47 points and 24 rebounds over her last two games.
DeWanna Bonner is back in Indiana, a familiar setting where she played earlier this season before returning to her longtime home in Phoenix. Bonner’s been a steady contributor, averaging 11.5 points and 5 rebounds in six games with the Mercury.
WNBA Game Prediction
Phoenix comes in favored at -3.5, but Indiana has been a tough out at home, particularly with Mitchell in attack mode. The Fever’s pace and Phoenix’s balanced scoring could make this total of 166 intriguing for over bettors.
Score Prediction: Phoenix 87, Indiana 82
Best Bet: Phoenix -3.5
Total: Over 166.0
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
