Tampa Bay (36-31) at Boston (33-36)
- When: Jun 11 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Fenway Park, Boston
- Where to watch: NESN
Rays vs Red Sox – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Boston -114 | Total: 10.0
Tampa Bay Rays Outlook
Tampa rides an eight‑game winning streak in Zack Littell decisions and looks to make it nine. The right‑hander has flipped the script after an 0‑5 start, ripping off a 6‑0 run with a 2.79 ERA over his last eight. He’s logged nine quality starts overall and held Miami to one run across six frames his previous outing.
Littell has been part of a rotation that’s surrendered more than three earned runs only twice in its past 18 contests. Lifetime versus Boston, the righty owns a tidy 2.45 ERA through four starts, losing only once, a 1‑0 duel in April in which he yielded a single run.
Boston Red Sox Outlook
Boston is a slim –114 favorite as Walker Buehler takes the ball looking to reset a rocky first month in a Red Sox uniform. Since returning from the IL, Buehler is 0‑3 with a bloated 5.18 ERA and is fresh off a two‑inning, seven‑run meltdown against the Yankees.
Still, the Sox offense showed life on Tuesday: top prospect Roman Anthony delivered a two‑run double for his first MLB hit, while Trevor Story stayed scorching (9‑for‑19, 8 RBIs over four games). Boston’s bullpen is rested after Lucas Giolito’s six‑inning gem, giving Alex Cora options behind Buehler if he stumbles early.
Player Prop Picks
Trevor Story – Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Story is tearing the cover off the ball and continues to get prime RBI opportunities in the heart of the lineup.
Zack Littell – Over 4.5 Strikeouts – Facing a Boston order that can run hot‑and‑cold, Littell’s swing‑and‑miss arsenal should produce five punch‑outs before the bullpen takes over.
Prediction & Betting Outlook
Boston’s lineup is trending up, but Littell’s consistency and Tampa’s pitching depth tilt value toward the underdog. Expect another tight, high‑scoring Fenway clash, yet the Rays’ superior form gives them the edge.
Final Score Prediction: Rays 6, Red Sox 5
Lean: Tampa Bay ML (-106)
Total: Over 10.0 (-110)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
