San Diego State (3-4-0) at Boise State (6-1-0)
- When: Nov 1 2024, 8:00 PM
- Where: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
- Where to watch: Fox Sports 1
Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
San Diego State @ Boise State (#15)
Moneyline
San Diego State +1100
Boise State (#15) -2800
San Diego State @ Boise State (#15)
Point Spread
San Diego State 23.5 (EVEN)
Boise State (#15) -23.5 (-120)
San Diego State @ Boise State (#15)
Total
Over 56.5 (-110)
Under 56.5 (-110)
- Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
Passing Team Leaders:
San Diego: Danny O’Neil 1240 Yds
Boise State: Maddux Madsen 1482 Yds
Team Stats
| San Diego | Boise State | |
| 3-4 | Record | 6-1 |
| 1-2 | Away & Home | 3-0 |
| 4-3-0 | ATS | 4-2-1 |
| 3-4-0 | O/U | 5-2-0 |
Last Matchup:
Boise State 34-31, September 22nd, 2023
Game Preview
As Boise State’s star running back Ashton Jeanty continues his remarkable Heisman Trophy campaign, the No. 15 Broncos gear up to host the San Diego State Aztecs in a pivotal Mountain West showdown on Friday evening—a game that offers enticing prospects for bettors.
Jeanty has been nothing short of sensational this season, leading the nation with 1,376 rushing yards and ranking second with 18 touchdowns. He’s averaging an astounding 196.6 rushing yards per game over seven contests for the Broncos (6-1, 3-0 Mountain West), making him a focal point for player prop bets and those eyeing Boise State’s offensive output.
Remarkably, Jeanty is more than halfway to Barry Sanders’ NCAA single-season rushing record of 2,628 yards set in 1988. With five regular-season games left—and the potential for up to nine total if Boise State reaches the 12-team College Football Playoff—the running back has a legitimate shot at breaking that historic mark. This possibility could influence futures bets and Heisman Trophy wagering.
"I did have high hopes for myself," Jeanty admitted. "I envisioned this being a legendary season, but I didn’t know exactly how it would unfold."
In his most recent performance, Jeanty rushed for 128 yards on 33 carries in a 29-24 victory over UNLV last Friday. Notably, he torched San Diego State last season for 205 rushing yards and two touchdowns in a 34-31 win—a stat that bettors might recall when considering his impact in this game. Since then, Jeanty has surpassed the 200-yard mark three more times this season, underscoring his consistency and making him an attractive option for over bets on rushing yards.
"He’s just an absolute warrior," praised Boise State coach Spencer Danielson, highlighting Jeanty’s relentless play—a sentiment that could sway those considering the Broncos against the spread.
Boise State enters the matchup on a five-game winning streak and is tied for first place with Colorado State atop the conference standings. However, the Broncos do not face Colorado State this season, adding extra significance to each remaining conference game. For bettors, Boise State’s motivation to maintain their standing could be a factor in their performance.
To secure a spot in the College Football Playoff, the Broncos need to finish as one of the five highest-ranked conference champions in the FBS. Their recent win over UNLV propelled them from No. 17 to No. 15, leapfrogging LSU and Kansas State—a development that could influence futures markets and bettors eyeing playoff odds.
"That UNLV team is legit," said Boise State quarterback Maddux Madsen, who contributed 209 passing yards and a touchdown. "Their defense played hard and fast until the end. We knew it was going to be a heavyweight fight." This acknowledgment of tough competition suggests that the Broncos are battle-tested—a factor for those considering moneyline or spread bets.
The victory over UNLV also made Boise State bowl-eligible for the 27th consecutive year, the second-longest active streak in the nation behind Georgia (28). This sustained success could instill confidence in bettors backing the Broncos.
On the flip side, the San Diego State Aztecs (3-4, 2-0 Mountain West) are coming off a disappointing 29-26 loss to Washington State—a team Boise State defeated 45-24 earlier this season. The Aztecs held a 26-14 lead with 13:39 left in the fourth quarter but surrendered the final 15 points, raising questions about their ability to close out games. Bettors might see this as an advantage for Boise State, especially in second-half wagering.
"We can’t get lax with that lead," admitted Aztecs linebacker Tano Letuli. "We need to play a full four quarters. Every play, every down, we can’t become complacent." This late-game vulnerability could be crucial for those considering live betting or second-half lines.
San Diego State quarterback Danny O’Neil missed two drives against Washington State due to an ankle injury but returned to lead a touchdown drive. Backup Javance Tupou’ata-Johnson filled in during his absence. O’Neil’s health status could impact the Aztecs’ offensive efficiency, a key consideration for total points and team prop bets.
Betting Angles to Consider:
– Point Spread: Boise State may be favored given their winning streak and Jeanty’s explosive performances. The Aztecs’ recent collapse could make covering the spread challenging for them.
– Total Points (Over/Under): With Jeanty’s rushing prowess and San Diego State’s defensive lapses late in games, the over might be an attractive option.
– Player Props: Jeanty is a prime candidate for over bets on rushing yards and touchdowns.
– First Half/Second Half Bets: San Diego State’s tendency to falter late could make Boise State a strong pick for second-half lines.
– Injury Reports: Monitor the status of Aztecs QB Danny O’Neil, as his condition could significantly affect the game’s outcome.
As the Broncos aim to extend their winning streak and enhance their playoff aspirations, and the Aztecs look to rebound from a tough loss, this Mountain West clash offers numerous betting opportunities. Bettors should consider recent performances, player form, and historical matchups when placing their wagers.
NCAA Football Parlay Picks & Predictions
Final Score: Boise State 45-17
Expert Pick: Boise State -23½ (-120) & Over 56½
A $100 Parlay Bet will return $350
- NCAAF Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
