Minnesota (22-21) at Dallas (23-20)
- When: Jan 22 2025, 7:30 PM
- Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX, USA
- TV: ESPN
Game Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves will aim to get back on track as they visit the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Minnesota, a 2.5-point favorite with a total set at 216.0, faces a Mavericks squad that has been struggling recently, losing four of their last five games. Here’s a closer look at the matchup and where to find value for bettors.
Timberwolves: Can They Close Out Games?
Minnesota has dropped four of its last six contests, and coach Chris Finch is calling for more from center Rudy Gobert, who had just four points and two defensive rebounds in Monday’s 108-106 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. Gobert’s lack of production has magnified the Timberwolves’ rebounding struggles, which could become a key factor against a Dallas team benefiting from standout performances by Daniel Gafford.
The Timberwolves have been plagued by inconsistency in clutch moments, with a 12-16 record in games decided by five points or fewer in the final minutes. Despite these struggles, Anthony Edwards has been a bright spot, averaging 30+ points in his last five games and continuing to lead Minnesota’s offensive charge. Look for Edwards to play a critical role again, especially with Donte DiVincenzo sidelined indefinitely.
Mavericks: Injuries and Missed Opportunities
The Mavericks are also navigating roster challenges, with center Dereck Lively II missing his third consecutive game due to an ankle injury. However, Daniel Gafford has stepped up in Lively’s absence, posting a career-high 31 points and 15 rebounds in Dallas’ 110-105 loss to the Charlotte Hornets.
Kyrie Irving is another key player to watch. He poured in 33 points against Charlotte and has shown the ability to spark a rally, but the Mavericks have struggled to close games, scoring just five points in the final six minutes on Monday. This inability to execute late could prove costly against a Timberwolves team hungry for a win.
Key Matchups
Anthony Edwards vs. Kyrie Irving: Edwards is scorching hot, while Irving continues to carry Dallas offensively. The player who dominates this duel could dictate the game’s outcome.
Rudy Gobert vs. Daniel Gafford: Gobert’s ability to assert himself in the paint could neutralize Gafford’s recent surge. Minnesota needs Gobert to dominate the glass and provide second-chance opportunities.
Betting Predictions
-
Spread: Minnesota -2.5
The Timberwolves’ recent losses have come in close games, and they’ve shown they can win on the road, as evidenced by their Christmas Day victory over Dallas. With Edwards in top form, expect Minnesota to cover the modest spread. -
Total: Under 216.0
Both teams are dealing with injuries, which could lead to slower pacing and more defensive intensity. The under is a solid play given the inconsistencies on both offenses.
Final Score Prediction
Timberwolves 108, Mavericks 101
Expect Minnesota to control the boards and capitalize on Dallas’ injury-depleted lineup, while Edwards continues his hot streak to help secure the win and cover.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
