Golden State (9-7) at Minnesota (15-2)
- When: Jul 5 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: FDSN
Golden State vs. Minnesota – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Minnesota -9.5 | Total: 156.0
Minnesota Lynx Outlook
The Lynx (15-2) are a juggernaut right now, especially when Napheesa Collier is dialed in. After a slow start last game, Collier erupted for 28 points, showing why she’s the engine behind Minnesota’s top-ranked defense and dynamic offense. Backed by consistent scorers like Kayla McBride and Courtney Williams, the Lynx are shooting 45.4% as a team and allowing a league-low 74.2 points per game.
Minnesota is coming off a comfortable win and owns a previous 86-75 victory over the Valkyries this season. With a strong home record and efficient ball movement, they’re looking to cover another big spread.
Player Prop Pick (Lynx)
Napheesa Collier Over 20.5 Points – She’s cleared this line in 3 of her last 4 games and is heating up.
Golden State Valkyries Outlook
The Valkyries (9-7) are no pushover. Winners of 4 of their last 5, they’ve been locking teams down defensively and riding the steady scoring of Kayla Thornton. The emergence of Veronica Burton as a facilitator has added a new dimension to their offense, and Golden State now ranks second in the league in opponent scoring at 77.2 points per game.
Defense travels, but they’ll need more than grit to upset Minnesota on the road. Thornton and Burton must play nearly flawless basketball while keeping pace with the Lynx’s offensive tempo.
Player Prop Pick (Valkyries)
Kayla Thornton Over 5.5 Rebounds – She’s averaging nearly 7 boards per game and should see heavy minutes trying to slow Collier.
Final Score Prediction:
Expect the Lynx to maintain control early and force Golden State into a half-court grind. Minnesota’s depth and defense should help them pull away late. Golden State will hang around early with its physical defense but may struggle to keep pace over four quarters.
Minnesota has been one of the league’s most reliable teams ATS and plays even better at home. The total at 156.0 could come down to whether Golden State can score enough to keep pace.
Best Bet: Minnesota -9.5
Toral: Under 156.0
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 83, Golden State 70
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
