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Golden State (10-9) at Las Vegas (9-11)
- When: Jul 12 2025, 4:00 PM
- Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV, USA
- TV: CBS
Golden State vs. Las Vegas – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Las Vegas -1.0 | Total: 154.5
Golden State Valkyries Outlook
Golden State wraps up their road trip with a visit to Vegas after dominating the Fever 80-61. That win snapped a mini-skid and reminded the league just how nasty this first-year squad can be defensively. They held Caitlin Clark to just 10 points thanks to suffocating, in-your-face pressure. Rookie Veronica Burton led the charge with a breakout 21-point performance that included a career-best five triples.
The Valkyries sit second in the WNBA in defensive rating and are the third expansion team in league history to reach 10 wins before hitting the 20-game mark. With former Aces assistant coach Natalie Nakase leading the charge and former Vegas guard Kate Martin returning to familiar territory, there’s added juice in this one.
Player Prop to Watch (Valkyrie)
Veronica Burton Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made – She’s hot and Vegas has struggled to defend the perimeter.
Las Vegas Aces Outlook
The Aces limp into this rematch after a rough 70-68 road loss to the lowly Mystics. Playing without A’ja Wilson (wrist), Vegas collapsed late, getting outscored 12-2 to close the game. If Wilson misses another contest, expect even more pressure on Jewell Loyd, who dropped 20 in the loss but didn’t get enough help.
Las Vegas has now lost 3 of their last 4 and ranks bottom five in both offensive and defensive efficiency, a far cry from their championship pedigree. Coach Becky Hammon wasn’t shy postgame, calling out the team’s lack of energy and accountability after halftime. Now they return home looking to avenge a brutal 95-68 loss to Golden State earlier this season.
Player Prop to Watch (Aces)
Jewell Loyd Over 14.5 Points – With A’ja potentially out again, expect Loyd to carry the scoring load.
Prediction & Betting Outlook:
Golden State already blew Vegas out once this year and enters with defensive swagger. If Wilson can’t suit up, the edge shifts even further toward the Valkyries. Still, this is a revenge spot for the Aces at home. Expect a close one, but Golden State’s defense makes the difference late.
Best Bet: Golden State ML (-105)
Toral: Under 154.5
Final Score Prediction: Golden State 77, Las Vegas 74
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
