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Phoenix (22-14) at Los Angeles (17-18)
- When: Aug 26 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- TV: NBA TV
Phoenix vs Los Angeles – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Phoenix -4.0 | Total: 177.5
Phoenix Mercury Betting Outlook
The Mercury head into Los Angeles as 4.0-point favorites with the total listed at 177.5. Phoenix has found its groove, winning six of its last nine and climbing into the top four of the league standings. The addition of Alyssa Thomas has transformed their identity, she continues to rack up triple-doubles with historic efficiency, most recently tallying 13 points, 12 rebounds, and 16 assists in a win over Golden State.
Thomas, alongside Satou Sabally and Kahleah Copper, gives Phoenix a dangerous trio that can dominate both ends of the floor. Phoenix has already beaten the Sparks twice this season, proving they can control this matchup when it matters most.
Player Prop to Watch (Mercury): Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists – Her passing has been elite, and the Sparks’ defense leaks everywhere.
Los Angeles Sparks Betting Outlook
The Sparks sit at 17-18 and continue to embody chaos, explosive on offense but leaky on defense. Los Angeles ranks second in scoring (86.4 ppg) and shooting percentage (46.1%), yet they’re last in the league defensively, allowing 88.5 points per game. That explains why bettors often find their games hitting overs.
Kelsey Plum delivered a buzzer-beater in their latest outing, an 81-80 win over Dallas, but her postgame comments about the defense said it all: “We gotta play some [expletive] defense.” At least Sparks fans loved the honesty. While the scoring is there, Los Angeles struggles to close out possessions, and that’s trouble against a balanced Mercury roster.
Player Prop to Watch (Sparks): Kelsey Plum Over 19.5 Points – She thrives in uptempo games, and Phoenix will push the pace.
Betting Angle & Prediction
The Sparks can score, but their defense remains a glaring weakness. Phoenix, with Thomas orchestrating and Sabally/Copper finishing, has too many weapons to let this slip. With playoff positioning on the line, expect the Mercury to handle business on the road.
Best Bet: Phoenix -4.0
Toral: Under 177.5
Final Score Prediction: Phoenix 91, Los Angeles 84
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
