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NY Mets (76-65) at Cincinnati (70-71)
- When: Sep 6 2025, 6:40 PM
- Where: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
- Where to watch: SNY
Mets vs. Reds – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: NY Mets -135
Spread: NY Mets -1.5 (+120)
Total: 8.5
New York Mets Betting Outlook
The Mets enter Saturday’s matchup as -135 favorites with the total set at 8.5, and they’re looking to ride the momentum from Friday’s nail-biter. Edwin Díaz might not be available after throwing 30 pitches in a Houdini act that secured his 26th save, but his effort gave the bullpen and rookies a cushion heading into the weekend.
Rookie right-hander Jonah Tong (1-0, 1.80 ERA) will make just his second career start. In his debut against Miami, he looked composed, allowing four runs (only one earned) across five innings in a 19-9 victory. The Mets have now moved into a tie with San Diego for the second NL wild-card spot and remain firmly ahead of their competition.
New York’s bullpen remains a strength, highlighted by Ryne Stanek, Brooks Raley, and Tyler Rogers combining for 2 2/3 shutout innings Friday. If Tong can give them a solid five frames, the Mets’ relief arms can finish the job again.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Outlook
Cincinnati finds itself on the wrong side of momentum, having slipped under .500 for the first time since early June. The Reds are 6-13 since August 15, and the inability to finish games has plagued them. Nine of those recent losses came in contests where Cincinnati had a lead at some point.
Brady Singer (12-9, 4.08 ERA) will take the mound, hoping to stabilize things. He’s coming off a win against the Cardinals, allowing three runs in six innings, and has history against the Mets, dominating them in 2023 with eight scoreless frames while with the Royals.
But the Reds’ biggest problem isn’t starting pitching, it’s consistency. Thursday and Friday were microcosms of their season: strong pushes late, but just not enough to flip the result.
Prediction & Betting Angle
The Mets’ rookie arms add intrigue, but the bullpen depth and renewed playoff push tip the scales. Cincinnati’s recent skid makes it hard to trust them in a tight game, especially against a team that’s finding ways to win.
Score Prediction: Mets 5, Reds 3
Pick: NY Mets -135
Total: Under 8.5 (-101)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
