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Raiders vs Chiefs Betting Preview, Odds & Pick

Kansas City hosts Las Vegas in a heated AFC West showdown. Expert betting preview and prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Patrick Mahomes
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Las Vegas (2-4-0) at Kansas City (3-3-0)

  • When: Oct 19 2025, 1:00 PM
  • Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • Where to watch: CBS
  • Last Meeting: KC 19-17, November 29th, 2024

Las Vegas vs Kansas City Preview & Prediction

Spread: Kansas City -12.0
Moneyline: Kansas City (-900)
Total: 45.5

Kansas City Chiefs: Rivalry Ready at Arrowhead

Patrick Mahomes didn’t need to check the schedule to know who was next. The vibe around Arrowhead this week screamed Raiders Week — and everyone in Kansas City knows what that means.

The Chiefs enter this matchup at 3-3 and finally seem to be finding their rhythm after a rocky start. They just steamrolled the Lions and will welcome back wide receiver Rashee Rice, who returns from suspension and a long rehab. His return could supercharge an already improving offense led by Mahomes and a red-hot Isiah Pacheco.

Kansas City’s defense, which has been quietly elite, should have a field day against a Raiders team that struggles to finish drives. The only hiccup might come from Maxx Crosby, the relentless pass-rusher who lives rent-free in Mahomes’ backfield every time these teams meet.

Andy Reid knows this rivalry better than anyone, owning a 20-4 record against Las Vegas. With the Chiefs winning eight of the last nine meetings, including several blowouts, it’s hard to see that changing in front of a fired-up home crowd.

Las Vegas Raiders: Hoping for a Miracle in Missouri

The Raiders snapped a four-game skid last week by beating the Titans, a win that was more of a sigh of relief than a statement. Now, Pete Carroll’s crew heads into Arrowhead as 12.0-point underdogs, looking to do the impossible: stop Mahomes at home.

Rookie running back Ashton Jeanty continues to be a bright spot, grinding out yards and earning every inch of his 424 total rushing yards. His physicality gives the Raiders some offensive stability, but the passing game remains inconsistent at best. Geno Smith, making his first appearance in this rivalry as a Raider, will need to protect the football and stay composed against Kansas City’s pressure.

Carroll has downplayed the rivalry, but the players know what’s at stake. A big road upset could redefine their season. Unfortunately, the gap in talent and execution might be too wide to bridge.

Final Score Prediction & Betting Outlook

Mahomes and company stay in control of the AFC West, while the Raiders’ brief momentum gets buried under the Arrowhead lights. The rivalry stays heated — but the scoreboard tells a familiar story.

Final Score: Kansas City 31, Las Vegas 17
Lean: Kansas City -12.0
Total: 
Over 45.5 

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