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Broncos at Commanders Odds Plus Expert Game Prediction

Broncos vs Commanders odds, matchup breakdown and expert score prediction for this key AFC NFC showdown.

(Photo by Getty Images) Terry McLaurin
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Denver (9-2-0) at Washington (3-8-0)

  • When: Nov 30 2025, 8:20 PM
  • Where: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
  • Where to watch: NBC/Peacock
  • Last Meeting: WSH 35-33, September 17th, 2023

Denver vs Washington Preview & Prediction

Spread: Denver -6.5
Moneyline: Denver (-320)
Total: 43.0

Denver Broncos Betting Outlook

The Broncos enter Week 13 hotter than a gambler on a miracle heater, ripping off eight straight wins and sitting just a half game from the AFC top seed. Sean Payton has reminded his squad that only one team in the conference earns a bye, which is coach speak for do not screw this up fellas.

Denver has leaned on order, discipline, and Bo Nix playing football like a veteran who has seen every blitz in the universe. Nix knows the job is far from finished, but the Broncos have built the perfect runway to make a legitimate push for the one seed.

Their strength remains balance. The offense has been steady, the defense has tightened up in key moments, and Payton has his group dialed into every detail from cleat selection to weather prep. Rumors swirl of nasty wind and cold rain in Washington, but Payton is already prepping his guys like they are playing on a tilted ice rink.

Broncos Player Prop Pick: Bo Nix Over 228.5 Passing Yards – Washington’s secondary has been beaten deep multiple times this season and Nix has shown he can hit explosive throws when protected.

Washington Commanders Betting Outlook

Washington began the year dreaming about NFC home field. Now they are 3 and 8, they have lost six straight, and their season feels like your last parlay leg slipping away in slow motion. The good news? Terry McLaurin finally returns after missing seven of eight games, a much needed boost for an offense that has lacked any punch with Jayden Daniels sidelined.

Marcus Mariota gets the call again at quarterback. Having McLaurin back will help him stretch the field, and tight end Zach Ertz should see more favorable matchups as defenses adjust. Washington gets healthier after the bye, although Noah Brown remains unavailable.

Coach Dan Quinn is looking at the final stretch as an audition period for his young players. The Commanders know the season is effectively toast, so they are leaning into development mode and trying to cause havoc for playoff hopefuls.

Commanders Player Prop Pick: Terry McLaurin Over 3.5 Receptions – Mariota will lean on his returning number one target to help move the chains against Denver’s aggressive defense.

Expert Betting Outlook & NFL Prediction

Denver is simply on a different tier right now. Washington’s offense gets a lift with McLaurin back, but Denver’s structure, momentum, and defensive consistency should win out in a classic grind it out game.

Final Score:  Broncos 23, Commanders 17
Lean:  Washington +6.5
Total: 
Under 43.5 

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