Louisville (7-0) vs Arkansas (5-2)
- When: Dec 3 2025, 7:15 PM
- Where: Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
(6) Louisville vs (25) Arkansas Preview & Prediction
Spread: Louisville -3.0
Moneyline: Louisville (-160)
Total: 164.5
Louisville Cardinals Betting Breakdown
Louisville steps into this ACC versus SEC showdown with an unblemished record and a stat sheet that looks like it was pulled straight out of a video game. The Cardinals have been pouring in points at a top tier national rate, cracking 100 in four separate outings and displaying one of the most efficient two way profiles in college basketball. Their only true test so far was a rivalry win over Kentucky, but it was a convincing performance that showed their style translates even against ranked competition.
They are fresh, well rested and playing with complete confidence. Louisville has a major edge on the glass, routinely winning second chance battles and generating extra possessions through energy and positioning. The perimeter attack has been lethal with multiple shooters stretching the floor and hitting threes at a high volume.
With their tempo and rebounding muscle, Louisville is built to push opponents into uncomfortable shootouts. In a contest with a total of 164.5, that ability matters a lot. They have the offensive depth and rhythm to dictate pace, especially early. From a betting perspective, Louisville’s consistency on both ends puts them in a strong spot to cover on the road.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Breakdown
Arkansas has had one of the tougher early season schedules in the country and it shows. They have faced two top seven opponents and played both competitively, yet failed to close either one. The Razorbacks led Duke late before completely running out of gas and letting the Blue Devils dominate in the closing minutes. Late game execution, rebounding and defensive breakdowns continue to be the common issues.
The good news is Arkansas has elite young talent. Meleek Thomas and Darius Acuff Jr. have looked like veterans despite their age, combining for more than 35 points per game. They provide shot creation, transition scoring and the competitive edge needed in big matchups.
The bad news is the Razorbacks have been bullied on the boards, and they cannot afford those same lapses against a Louisville team that thrives on offensive rebounds. Arkansas has not yet discovered its best lineup, with Calipari still rotating combinations in hopes of finding stability. Against a fast, efficient Louisville squad, that lack of identity becomes a gambling concern.
Still, Arkansas at home can be a handful, and their guards can create momentum swings quickly. If they settle into a flow early, this could become a track meet.
Expert Final Score Prediction
Louisville’s rebounding, depth and perimeter firepower match up extremely well with an Arkansas team that struggles late and cannot afford to get into another second half collapse.
Arkansas will have stretches of brilliance, but Louisville looks too polished at the moment.
Final Score: Louisville 89, Arkansas 81
Lean: Louisville -3.0
Total: Over 164.5
- NCAAB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
