- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Phoenix (13-9) at Houston (14-5)
- When: Dec 5 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Toyota Center, Houston, TX, USA
- TV: SCHN
Phoenix vs Houston Preview & Prediction
Spread: Houston -11.0
Moneyline: Houston (-550)
Total: 221.0
Houston Rockets Betting Breakdown
Houston keeps punching opponents in the mouth with a throwback offensive style that somehow works beautifully in a modern NBA filled with nothing but threes and step-backs. The Rockets crushed Sacramento 121 to 95 in the first leg of this homestand, and they did it by turning every loose ball into a track meet.
The funny part is Houston barely creates turnovers. They produced only eight points off Sacramento’s giveaways, yet still posted 30 fast break points because they sprinted on every long rebound like it was a gold rush.
Ime Udoka’s squad rarely bombs away from deep, taking the fewest threes in the league, but when they do shoot, they hit them at an elite clip. The offense flows through Alperen Sengun and Kevin Durant, and the paint touches they create open wide-open kickout looks.
Houston also dismantled Sacramento on the boards, winning the rebound battle by thirty. If the Rockets bring that same interior dominance, Phoenix might have a long night.
Houston Player Prop Pick: Kevin Durant Over 24.5 Points – KD is getting clean looks off interior kickouts and attacking mismatches all game. Volume plus efficiency equals value.
Phoenix Suns Betting Breakdown
The Suns arrive in Houston without Devin Booker, and that changes everything about their offensive identity. Without their go to scorer and late shot clock bailout option, Phoenix must lean on a tougher, slower, more bruising style to stay competitive. That means more Dillon Brooks bully ball, more Mark Williams rim pressure and rebounding, and a heavier facilitating load for Bradley Beal if he suits up.
Phoenix still enters with confidence after handling the Lakers earlier in the week, but this matchup demands a completely different approach. Houston punishes teams on the glass, thrives off long rebounds in transition and squeezes opponents with their elite halfcourt efficiency. Without Booker’s shot making, it becomes a test of discipline, physicality and execution rather than firepower.
The Suns will try to grind the Rockets into a low possession game. Brooks has been the heartbeat of their toughness, drawing the toughest defensive assignment while attacking the rim with far more freedom when Booker sits. Williams adds a real interior anchor and gives Phoenix second chance opportunities they lacked in the first meeting.
Phoenix Player Prop Pick: Dillon Brooks Over 22.5 Points – Brooks sees a major bump in shot volume when Booker sits. He becomes a primary scoring option and should get 14 to 18 attempts in this game. His aggression and minutes load make this the best value on the Suns side.
NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction
Houston’s size, efficiency and rebounding edge still point to a comfortable home win, but not quite enough to clear this inflated number. Phoenix’s added rest and interior help from Mark Williams should keep this within single digits.
Final Score: Rockets 116, Suns 107
Lean: Phoenix +11.0
Total: Over 221.0
- NBA Basketball Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
